Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 7, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 7, 2023

The Chicago Cubs (40-46) are looking for Cody Bellinger to prolong a 12-game hitting streak against the New York Yankees (48-40), on Friday at 7:05 PM ET, at Yankee Stadium.

The Cubs are road underdogs (+141) versus the Yankees (-166). The contest has an over/under of 8.

The betting facts in the following article reflect odds as of July 7, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Yankees vs Cubs Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Yankees -166 +141 8

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have entered the game as favorites 57 times this season and won 34, or 59.6%, of those games.
  • New York has a record of 14-1 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -166 on the moneyline.
  • The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 62.4% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • So far this season, New York and its opponents have hit the over in 38 of 88 games with a total.
  • The Yankees are 47-41-0 against the spread this season.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 12
ERA 4.97
K/9 7.1

Cubs Betting Insights

  • The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 42 games this year and have walked away with the win 15 times (35.7%) in those games.
  • This season, Chicago has been victorious four times in nine chances when named as an underdog of at least +141 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 41.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 42 of its 86 opportunities.
  • The Cubs are 41-45-0 against the spread in their 86 games that had a posted line this season.

Cubs Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 8
ERA 4.75
K/9 8.6

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Carlos Rodon

  • Rodon and his team were 17-14-0 ATS in games he pitched last year.
  • The last time the lefty took the mound was on Friday, Sept. 30 last season, when he pitched six scoreless innings in a matchup with the Colorado Rockies.
  • Rodon and his team were 14-10 when he pitched and they were the moneyline favorite.
  • The 30-year-old made 31 appearances last year and his team went 16-15 in those games.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 38 34.1 28 2.62 11 4
Ron Marinaccio 34 39 46 3.00 7 2
Clay Holmes 34 34.1 43 1.83 5 10
Albert Abreu 30 38.1 42 4.46 3 0
Michael King 27 47 50 2.87 3 5

Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jameson Taillon

  • Taillon (2-6 with a 6.93 ERA and 59 strikeouts in 63 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Cubs, his 15th of the season.
  • The right-hander last pitched on Sunday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he went five innings, allowing four earned runs while giving up six hits.
  • Taillon will look to extend a seven-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 4.5 frames per outing).
  • He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Cubs have a 1-6 record in Taillon’s seven starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • Taillon’s team has won two of his 14 starts.
  • Taillon’s starts hit the over on the run total eight times in 14 games with a set total this season.

Cubs Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Fulmer 36 39 40 4.62 6 1
Julian Merryweather 36 36.1 50 3.47 5 0
Mark Leiter Jr. 34 36.2 52 3.19 13 3
Adbert Alzolay 29 37.1 42 2.41 7 5
Michael Rucker 27 34.1 36 3.93 0 0

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • The Yankees have a 38-12 record in games this season when they belt two or more homers.
  • New York is 12-2 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 39-16 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
  • New York has a 36-11 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Yankees have drawn at least five walks in 23 games this season, and are 15-8 in those contests.

Cubs Hitting Trends

  • They are 18-14 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • In 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 14-2.
  • In 58 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 40-18.
  • Chicago has a 31-11 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • In 30 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-14

Yankees vs. Cubs Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-166)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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