The Pittsburgh Pirates (40-46) will look to Jack Suwinski, currently on a two-game homer streak, against the Los Angeles Dodgers (48-38) at 10:10 PM ET on Thursday, at Dodger Stadium.
The Pirates (+176 underdog moneyline odds to win) are away versus the Dodgers (-213). The over/under for the game is 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows reflect odds as of July 6, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Dodgers vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dodgers | -213 | +176 | 8.5 |
Dodgers Betting Insights
- The Dodgers have been favorites in 73 games this season and won 42 (57.5%) of those contests.
- Los Angeles is 9-6 this season when entering a game favored by -213 or more on the moneyline.
- The Dodgers have a 68.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Los Angeles and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of 86 games with a total.
- The Dodgers have an ATS record of 44-42-0 in 86 games with a spread this season.
Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.4 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.65 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been victorious in 28, or 42.4%, of the 66 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Pittsburgh has won three of six games when listed as at least +176 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 36.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 43 of its 86 opportunities.
- In 86 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 40-46-0 against the spread.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.17 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Julio Urias
- When Urias starts, his team is 6-5-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw three innings against the Kansas City Royals, giving up five earned runs while allowing six hits.
- In 11 starts this season, Urias has lasted five or more innings eight times, with an average of 5.3 innings per appearance.
- He has finished one appearance without allowing an earned run in 11 chances this season.
- Urias’ team has a record of 6-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Urías’ team has won six of his 11 starts.
- Games started by Urias have a 7-4-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Dodgers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yency Almonte | 37 | 36.2 | 36 | 5.15 | 7 | 0 |
| Brusdar Graterol | 35 | 37 | 27 | 1.95 | 8 | 4 |
| Caleb Ferguson | 34 | 32.1 | 38 | 2.78 | 12 | 2 |
| Evan Phillips | 34 | 35 | 41 | 2.57 | 6 | 12 |
| Phil Bickford | 29 | 34 | 45 | 5.82 | 3 | 0 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Juan Carlos Oviedo
- Oviedo gets the start for the Pirates, his 18th of the season. He is 3-9 with a 4.61 ERA and 81 strikeouts in 93 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was on Saturday against the Milwaukee Brewers, when the right-hander went five innings, surrendering eight earned runs while giving up nine hits.
- Oviedo will try to go five or more innings for his fourth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.5 frames per outing.
- In one of his appearances this season he did not allow an earned run.
- The Pirates have a 3-10 record in Oviedo’s 13 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Oviedo’s team is 6-11 in his 17 starts.
- Oviedo has had 17 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in eight of those games.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 37 | 37.2 | 48 | 3.58 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 31 | 33 | 39 | 1.36 | 0 | 16 |
| Colin Holderman | 27 | 27 | 28 | 3.67 | 12 | 1 |
| Yohan Ramirez | 20 | 25 | 23 | 2.88 | 3 | 0 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
Dodgers Hitting Trends
- The Dodgers are 34-13 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Los Angeles has had at least five extra-base hits in 29 games this season, and has gone 20-9 in those outings.
- The club has racked up at least eight hits 55 times this season, and has a 38-17 record in those games.
- Los Angeles has a 41-14 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Dodgers have drawn five or more walks in 39 games this season, and are 27-12 in those contests.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They are 18-6 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Pittsburgh has won 16 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 29-10 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 31 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 26-5.
- They have won 13 of their 26 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Dodgers vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-213)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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