The Cleveland Guardians (42-44) and Kansas City Royals (25-62) clash on Thursday at 7:10 PM ET, opening a four-game series at Progressive Field.
The Guardians are a home favorite (-225) versus the Royals (+187). The total for this game is set at 9.
The insights in the following article reference odds valid as of July 6, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -225 | +187 | 9 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- This season, the Guardians have won 25 out of the 46 games, or 54.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Cleveland has a record of 1-2 when favored by -225 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 69.2% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 36 of 86 opportunities.
- The Guardians are 42-44-0 against the spread in their 86 chances this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.01 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have won in 22, or 29.7%, of the 74 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Kansas City has come away with a win five times in 17 chances when named as an underdog of at least +187 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Royals have an implied victory probability of 34.8% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 41 of its 87 opportunities.
- The Royals have an against the spread mark of 34-53-0 in 87 games with a line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 3 |
| ERA | 5.69 |
| K/9 | 6.8 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Guardians or Royals, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee
- When Bibee starts, his team is 8-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed 5 2/3 innings without allowing a run on three hits in a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
- Bibee will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
- He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 12 chances this season.
- Bibee’s team has been victorious in 80% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 4-1.
- Bibee’s team is 6-6 when he starts this season.
- Out of Bibee’s 12 starts with a total this season, five have hit the over.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 40 | 40.2 | 37 | 3.54 | 0 | 24 |
| Trevor Stephan | 38 | 37 | 39 | 2.68 | 12 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 35 | 35 | 31 | 2.57 | 6 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 32 | 35.2 | 35 | 1.77 | 5 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 28 | 31.1 | 32 | 2.87 | 2 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Jordan Lyles
- Lyles gets the start for the Royals, his 17th of the season. He is 1-11 with a 6.48 ERA and 64 strikeouts in 91 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Saturday, June 24, the righty threw six innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, giving up four earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- Lyles will try to build upon an eight-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.7 frames per appearance).
- So far during the 2023 campaign he has given up at least one earned run in each of his outings.
- The Royals have a 1-13 record in Lyles’ 14 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Lyles’ team has won one of his 16 starts.
- Lyles has had 16 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and eight of those outings finished over the total.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 34 | 35 | 43 | 4.37 | 2 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 33 | 36.2 | 40 | 6.14 | 9 | 0 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 28 | 41.2 | 49 | 4.10 | 4 | 0 |
| Scott Barlow | 28 | 31 | 43 | 4.06 | 0 | 10 |
| Amir Garrett | 24 | 24 | 27 | 2.63 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have hit at least two dingers in 12 games this season, and are 10-2 in those contests.
- Cleveland has gone 11-5 in its 16 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits 52 times this season, and has a 29-23 record in those games.
- Cleveland has a 24-5 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Guardians have gone 13-9 in the 22 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 19 games this season and are 6-13 in those matchups.
- Kansas City has gone 8-11 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 18 of the 50 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 26 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 16-10.
- They have won three of their 13 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Guardians vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-225)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!
Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
