The Baltimore Orioles (50-35) visit the New York Yankees (48-39) at 7:05 PM ET on Thursday.
The Yankees are an underdog (+112 moneyline odds to win) when they host the Orioles (-132). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of July 6, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Yankees Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -132 | +112 | 8.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- This season, the Orioles have won 28 out of the 41 games, or 68.3%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Baltimore has a record of 22-9, a 71% win rate, when favored by -132 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 56.9% chance to win.
- Games involving Baltimore has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 43 of 85 chances this season.
- In 85 games with a spread this season, the Orioles are 50-35-0 ATS.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- The Yankees have been chosen as underdogs in 30 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (46.7%) in those games.
- This season, New York has been victorious 10 times in 21 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Yankees have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- New York and its opponents have gone over in 37 of its 87 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Yankees have an against the spread mark of 47-40-0 in 87 games with a line this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 3.83 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Bradish
- When Bradish starts, his team is 10-5-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed six innings while giving up one earned run on seven hits in a matchup with the Minnesota Twins.
- Bradish has five starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has made 15 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
- Bradish’s team has been victorious in 71.4% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 5-2.
- Bradish’s team has won nine of his 15 starts.
- In Bradish’s 15 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 38 | 41.2 | 45 | 4.10 | 6 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | 37 | 34.2 | 44 | 3.89 | 10 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 36 | 40 | 81 | 1.13 | 0 | 23 |
| Danny Coulombe | 35 | 29 | 38 | 2.79 | 16 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 35 | 41.2 | 37 | 1.51 | 19 | 4 |
Yankees Probable Pitcher – Luis Severino
- Severino (1-3 with a 6.30 ERA and 34 strikeouts in 40 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Yankees, his ninth of the season.
- In his most recent time out on Saturday against the St. Louis Cardinals, the righty went four innings, giving up seven earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
- Severino has put up four starts this season that he pitched five or more innings.
- In one of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
- The Yankees are 2-3 in Severino’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Severino’s team has a 4-5 record in his starts this season.
- Severino has had nine starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in four of those games.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 37 | 33.1 | 27 | 2.43 | 11 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 34 | 34.1 | 43 | 1.83 | 5 | 10 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 33 | 38 | 46 | 3.08 | 7 | 2 |
| Albert Abreu | 29 | 37.2 | 42 | 3.11 | 3 | 0 |
| Michael King | 27 | 47 | 50 | 2.87 | 3 | 5 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have a 23-11 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Baltimore is 20-3 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 36-18 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
- Baltimore is 37-9 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Orioles have drawn five or more walks in 23 games this season, and are 18-5 in those contests.
Yankees Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 50 games this season and are 38-12 in those matchups.
- New York has gone 12-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 39-16 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- New York has won 36 of its 47 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 15 of their 23 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Orioles vs. Yankees Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (+112)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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