The Miami Marlins (51-37) aim to sweep a four-game series versus the St. Louis Cardinals (35-51), at 6:40 PM ET on Thursday.
The Marlins are favored at home (-132) against the Cardinals (+112). The over/under for the game is 8 total runs.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of July 6, 2023 at 5:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -132 | +112 | 8 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won 28, or 66.7%, of the 42 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Miami has won 21 of its 27 games, or 77.8%, when favored by at least -132 on the moneyline.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Marlins.
- Games involving Miami has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 41 of 88 chances this season.
- The Marlins are 42-46-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.86 |
| K/9 | 9.6 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 36 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (38.9%) in those games.
- This season, St. Louis has come away with a win eight times in 18 chances when named as an underdog of at least +112 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 47.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- St. Louis and its opponents have gone over in 44 of its 86 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- In 86 games with a line this season, the Cardinals have a mark of 37-49-0 against the spread.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 6.31 |
| K/9 | 6.9 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Eury Perez
- When Perez starts, his team is 6-4-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up six earned runs and allowed seven hits in a third of an inning against the Atlanta Braves.
- Perez has seven starts of five or more innings this season in 10 chances. He averages 4.7 innings per outing.
- He has five appearances with no earned runs allowed in 10 chances this season.
- Perez’s team has been victorious in 50% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-3.
- Perez’s team has a 5-5 record in his starts this season.
- Games Perez has started this season hit the over two times in 10 chances.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Scott | 36 | 41 | 61 | 3.07 | 16 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 34 | 32.2 | 34 | 4.13 | 9 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 33 | 43.2 | 46 | 3.30 | 11 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 30 | 31 | 41 | 2.61 | 9 | 0 |
| A.J. Puk | 27 | 27 | 32 | 3.67 | 0 | 14 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Jack Flaherty
- Flaherty makes the start for the Cardinals, his 17th of the season. He is 5-5 with a 4.60 ERA and 84 strikeouts through 86 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Saturday, the righty tossed six scoreless innings against the New York Yankees while surrendering four hits.
- Flaherty will try to build on a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.4 frames per appearance).
- He has made four appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Cardinals have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Flaherty’s starts this season, and they went 5-2 in those games.
- Flaherty’s team has compiled a 10-6 record over his 16 starts.
- Flaherty has started 16 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in 11 of them.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hicks | 33 | 34.2 | 53 | 4.15 | 6 | 5 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 31 | 34 | 32 | 4.50 | 10 | 8 |
| Chris Stratton | 30 | 42.1 | 44 | 4.46 | 2 | 0 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 28 | 30.1 | 35 | 4.75 | 5 | 0 |
| Andre Pallante | 27 | 30.2 | 28 | 4.11 | 8 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have hit two or more dingers in 29 games this season, and are 11-18 in those outings.
- Miami is 15-1 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 71 games this season, and is 42-29 in those contests.
- Miami has a 34-10 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Marlins are 11-11 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They have won 28 of the 42 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- St. Louis has won 23 of its 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 37-23 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- St. Louis has a 33-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 10 of their 26 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-132)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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