The Cincinnati Reds (48-39) carry a four-game winning streak into a home contest versus the Washington Nationals (34-52), at 1:05 PM ET on Thursday.
The Nationals are favored (-132 moneyline odds) when they take the field at home against the Reds (+111). The total for the game is set at 10 total runs.
The insights in the following article reflect odds as of July 6, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Nationals vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nationals | -132 | +111 | 10 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have won two of the three games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Washington has not entered a game this season with shorter moneyline odds than -132.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 56.9% chance of a victory for the Nationals.
- Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of its 86 games with a total this season.
- The Nationals have an ATS record of 48-38-0 in 86 games with a spread this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.80 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have been underdogs in 64 games this season and have come away with the win 32 times (50%) in those contests.
- This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 25 times in 52 chances when named as an underdog of at least +111 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Reds have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over in 51 of its 87 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Reds are 53-34-0 against the spread in their 87 games that had a posted line this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
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Nationals Probable Pitcher – MacKenzie Gore
- Gore’s team is 9-8-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw 2 2/3 innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up seven earned runs while allowing six hits.
- Gore has made 12 starts of five or more innings in 17 chances this season, and averages 5.2 frames when he pitches.
- He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 17 chances this season.
- Gore’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Gore’s team is 5-12 when he starts this season.
- Out of Gore’s 17 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Harvey | 36 | 37 | 41 | 3.16 | 11 | 8 |
| Mason Thompson | 33 | 39.2 | 37 | 3.40 | 8 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 32 | 35 | 33 | 3.34 | 7 | 11 |
| Andres Machado | 14 | 17 | 12 | 8.47 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan Weems | 13 | 16.2 | 18 | 1.62 | 0 | 0 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Brandon Williamson
- The Reds will send Williamson (1-2) to the mound for his 10th start of the season. He is 1-2 with a 5.56 ERA and 34 strikeouts through 43 2/3 innings pitched.
- The left-hander last pitched on Saturday against the San Diego Padres, when he went five innings, allowing two earned runs while giving up three hits.
- Williamson has pitched five or more innings in a game six times this season heading into this matchup.
- He has not made an appearance yet in 2023 that he did not give up at least one earned run.
- The Reds have a 4-3 record in Williamson’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Williamson’s team has a 6-3 record in his starts this season.
- Williamson has had nine starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in five of those games.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Farmer | 38 | 41.2 | 36 | 3.46 | 8 | 2 |
| Ian Gibaut | 37 | 40.1 | 33 | 3.57 | 9 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 37 | 34.2 | 33 | 2.60 | 9 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 37 | 38 | 58 | 2.13 | 1 | 24 |
| Lucas Sims | 32 | 32.2 | 42 | 3.31 | 13 | 1 |
Nationals Hitting Trends
- The Nationals have a 10-7 record this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Washington has collected at least five extra-base hits in 12 games this season, and has gone 9-3 in those contests.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits in 59 games this season, and is 29-30 in those contests.
- Washington is 21-10 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Nationals are 8-9 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They are 24-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Cincinnati has gone 21-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 65 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 46-19.
- Cincinnati has a 49-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 16-19 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Nationals vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Reds (+111)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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