The Texas Rangers (51-36) and Boston Red Sox (44-43) play on Thursday at 7:10 PM ET at Fenway Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
The Rangers are favored (-144 on the moneyline) when they take on the Red Sox (+122). The matchup has an over/under of 9.5 total runs.
The insights in the article below are based off odds valid as of July 6, 2023 at 7:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -144 | +122 | 9.5 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- This season, the Rangers have won 34 out of the 57 games, or 59.6%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Texas has won 23 of its 36 games, or 63.9%, when favored by at least -144 on the moneyline.
- The Rangers have a 59% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Texas’ games have gone over the total in 45 of its 87 chances.
- The Rangers are 52-35-0 against the spread this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 4.85 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have won in 24, or 48%, of the 50 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This season, Boston has come away with a win 14 times in 22 chances when named as an underdog of at least +122 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 45% chance of walking away with the win.
- Boston and its opponents have hit the over in 46 of its 87 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Red Sox have an against the spread mark of 43-44-0 in 87 games with a line this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.1 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.50 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Nathan Eovaldi
- Eovaldi and his team are 11-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander did not allow a run in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Houston Astros.
- Eovaldi has 17 starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished six appearances without allowing an earned run in 17 chances this season.
- When Eovaldi starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-4.
- Eovaldi’s team has won 10 of his 17 starts.
- In games Eovaldi has started this season, the teams are 9-6-2 at hitting the over.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aroldis Chapman | 31 | 31.1 | 56 | 2.30 | 8 | 2 |
| Will Smith | 31 | 31.1 | 33 | 3.16 | 4 | 15 |
| Josh Sborz | 26 | 36 | 49 | 3.25 | 9 | 0 |
| Brock Burke | 26 | 34.1 | 26 | 3.15 | 8 | 0 |
| Grant Anderson | 14 | 19.1 | 19 | 3.26 | 2 | 0 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Kutter Crawford
- Crawford makes the start for the Red Sox, his ninth of the season. He is 3-4 with a 3.92 ERA and 55 strikeouts in 57 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s most recent appearance came on Saturday against the Toronto Blue Jays, when he threw 5 2/3 innings, surrendering two earned runs while allowing three hits.
- Crawford will aim to last five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 3.6 frames per outing.
- In five of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
- The Red Sox are 2-2 in Crawford’s four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Crawford’s team has won three of his eight starts.
- Crawford’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in four of eight contests.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenley Jansen | 29 | 29.2 | 35 | 3.34 | 0 | 18 |
| Chris Martin | 28 | 27 | 23 | 1.67 | 14 | 1 |
| Josh Winckowski | 28 | 46.2 | 36 | 3.28 | 9 | 2 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 21 | 26.2 | 26 | 2.70 | 1 | 0 |
| Kaleb Ort | 19 | 23 | 24 | 6.26 | 1 | 0 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers have hit two or more dingers in 41 games this season, and are 30-11 in those outings.
- Texas is 20-11 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched eight or more hits 74 times this season, and has a 52-22 record in those games.
- Texas has a 47-15 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Rangers have gone 21-12 over the 33 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 18-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 19-8.
- They have a record of 36-27 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Boston has won 36 of its 45 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 21 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 11-10
Rangers vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-144)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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