The Chicago Cubs (40-45) are looking for Cody Bellinger to continue an 11-game hitting streak against the Milwaukee Brewers (46-41), on Thursday at 2:10 PM ET, at American Family Field.
A projected tight matchup features the Brewers (-117 moneyline odds to win) against the Cubs (-102). The game’s over/under is set at 7.5.
The betting facts in the article below reflect odds as of July 6, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Brewers vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brewers | -117 | -102 | 7.5 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been favorites in 44 games this season and won 23 (52.3%) of those contests.
- This season Milwaukee has won 20 of its 35 games, or 57.1%, when favored by at least -117 on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Brewers have a 53.9% chance to win.
- Games involving Milwaukee has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 38 of 87 chances this season.
- In 87 games with a spread this season, the Brewers are 42-45-0 ATS.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have come away with 15 wins in the 41 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Chicago has come away with a win 13 times in 35 chances when named as an underdog of at least -102 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 50.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 41 of its 85 opportunities.
- In 85 games with a line this season, the Cubs have a mark of 41-44-0 against the spread.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.65 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
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Brewers Probable Pitcher – Freddy Peralta
- Peralta and his team have a record of 6-10-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Friday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed three hits in 5 1/3 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Peralta will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
- He has one appearance with no earned runs allowed in 16 chances this season.
- When Peralta starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-6.
- Peralta’s team has won seven of his 16 starts this season.
- Out of Peralta’s 16 starts with a total this season, eight have hit the over.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 40 | 34.1 | 29 | 2.62 | 9 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 36 | 40.1 | 44 | 2.01 | 15 | 2 |
| Devin Williams | 31 | 31.2 | 41 | 1.99 | 0 | 18 |
| Elvis Peguero | 29 | 32 | 26 | 2.81 | 9 | 1 |
| Bryse Wilson | 28 | 41.1 | 33 | 2.83 | 2 | 3 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman
- Stroman (9-6) is going for his 10th victory when he takes the mound first for the Cubs in his 19th start of the season. He has a 2.76 ERA in 107 2/3 innings pitched, with 92 strikeouts.
- In his last appearance on Saturday against the Cleveland Guardians, the right-hander threw 5 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while surrendering five hits.
- Stroman is trying to record his 17th start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
- In six of his appearances this season he has not allow an earned run.
- The Cubs are 4-3 in Stroman’s seven starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Stroman’s team has a 10-8 record in his starts this season.
- Stroman has started 18 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 36 | 36.1 | 50 | 3.47 | 5 | 0 |
| Michael Fulmer | 35 | 38 | 39 | 4.50 | 6 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 33 | 35.2 | 50 | 3.28 | 13 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 29 | 37.1 | 42 | 2.41 | 7 | 5 |
| Michael Rucker | 27 | 34.1 | 36 | 3.93 | 0 | 0 |
Brewers Hitting Trends
- The Brewers have a 32-6 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Milwaukee has won each of its seven games this season when collecting at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 34-12 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
- Milwaukee is 43-6 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Brewers have gone 23-8 over the 31 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They have won 18 of the 31 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Chicago has won 14 of its 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 57 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 40-17.
- In 41 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 31-10.
- In 30 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 16-14
Brewers vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Brewers (-117)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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