The New York Yankees (48-38) and Baltimore Orioles (49-35) meet on Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET.
The Yankees (-111 on the moneyline) take the field against the Orioles (-108) in an expected close matchup. The game’s over/under is 9.
The insights in the article below reflect odds as of July 5, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -111 | -108 | 9 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- This season, the Yankees have won 34 out of the 56 games, or 60.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- New York is 32-20 this season when entering a game favored by -111 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Yankees, based on the moneyline, is 52.6%.
- Games involving New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 37 of 86 chances this season.
- The Yankees are 47-39-0 against the spread this season.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 3.21 |
| K/9 | 8.2 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have won in 21, or 48.8%, of the 43 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Baltimore has a win-loss record of 20-19 when favored by -108 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 51.9% chance of walking away with the win.
- Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 43 of its 84 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Orioles are 49-35-0 against the spread in their 84 games that had a posted line this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 9.5 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Randy Vasquez
- Vasquez has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Thursday, June 8, when he threw 5 2/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox without allowing a run.
- Vasquez’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Vasquez’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Vasquez this season, the teams did not hit the over both times.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 37 | 33.1 | 27 | 2.43 | 11 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 34 | 34.1 | 43 | 1.83 | 5 | 10 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 33 | 38 | 46 | 3.08 | 7 | 2 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 29 | 32.2 | 34 | 3.86 | 8 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 29 | 37.2 | 42 | 3.11 | 3 | 0 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer
- Kremer (8-4) takes the mound first for the Orioles in his 18th start of the season. He’s put together a 5.04 ERA in 91 2/3 innings pitched, with 82 strikeouts.
- His last time out came on Friday against the Minnesota Twins, when the right-hander threw three innings, surrendering seven earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Kremer is trying to secure his 15th start of five or more innings this year in this outing.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 17 outings this season.
- The Orioles are 8-3 in Kremer’s 11 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Kremer’s team has won 11 of his 17 starts.
- Kremer has had 17 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and 11 of those games hit the over.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 38 | 41.2 | 45 | 4.10 | 6 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | 37 | 34.2 | 44 | 3.89 | 10 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 35 | 38.2 | 79 | 1.16 | 0 | 22 |
| Danny Coulombe | 35 | 29 | 38 | 2.79 | 16 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 34 | 41 | 37 | 1.32 | 18 | 4 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees are 38-11 this season in games when they hit two or more home runs.
- New York has gone 12-2 in its 14 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has notched at least eight hits 55 times this season, and has a 39-16 record in those games.
- New York is 36-11 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Yankees have drawn five or more walks in 23 games this season, and are 15-8 in those contests.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They have won 23 of the 34 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Baltimore has gone 19-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 35 of the 53 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Baltimore has won 36 of its 45 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 18-5 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Yankees vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-111)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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