The Texas Rangers (51-35) visit the Boston Red Sox (43-43) at 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday, a game featuring two of MLB’s most consistent batters. Leody Taveras has an average of .301 (ninth in league) for the Rangers, and Masataka Yoshida ranks eighth at .307 for the Red Sox.
Oddsmakers project the Rangers as a close favorite (-115 to win on the moneyline) against the Red Sox (-105). The matchup has an over/under set at 9.5 total runs.
The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of July 5, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -115 | -105 | 9.5 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- This season, the Rangers have been favored 56 times and won 34, or 60.7%, of those games.
- This season Texas has won 32 of its 52 games, or 61.5%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Rangers, based on the moneyline, is 53.5%.
- Texas and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 45 of 86 opportunities.
- The Rangers have an ATS record of 52-34-0 in 86 games with a spread this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 5.06 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been underdogs in 49 games this season and have come away with the win 23 times (46.9%) in those contests.
- This season, Boston has been victorious 23 times in 48 chances when named as an underdog of at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Red Sox have a 51.2% chance of pulling out a win.
- Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 46 of 86 chances this season.
- The Red Sox have posted a record of 42-44-0 against the spread this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.0 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jon Gray
- Gray and his team are 8-7-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up five earned runs and allowed seven hits in six innings against the Houston Astros.
- Gray will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has two appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 15 chances this season.
- Gray’s team has a record of 3-6 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- In games Gray has started, his team is 8-7.
- Out of Gray’s 15 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aroldis Chapman | 31 | 31.1 | 56 | 2.30 | 8 | 2 |
| Will Smith | 31 | 31.1 | 33 | 3.16 | 4 | 15 |
| Josh Sborz | 26 | 36 | 49 | 3.25 | 9 | 0 |
| Brock Burke | 26 | 34.1 | 26 | 3.15 | 8 | 0 |
| Grant Anderson | 14 | 19.1 | 19 | 3.26 | 2 | 0 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Brayan Bello
- Bello (5-5) takes the mound first for the Red Sox in his 14th start of the season. He has a 3.08 ERA in 73 2/3 innings pitched, with 67 strikeouts.
- In his last time out on Thursday, the righty went seven innings against the Miami Marlins, giving up one earned run while surrendering two hits.
- Bello will try to prolong a six-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.6 innings per appearance).
- He has not had an outing so far in 2023 where he did not give up at least one earned run.
- The Red Sox are 4-2 in Bello’s six starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Bello’s team is 8-5 over his 13 starts.
- Bello has started 13 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in six of them.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenley Jansen | 28 | 28.2 | 35 | 3.45 | 0 | 17 |
| Josh Winckowski | 28 | 46.2 | 36 | 3.28 | 9 | 2 |
| Chris Martin | 27 | 26 | 22 | 1.73 | 13 | 1 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 21 | 26.2 | 26 | 2.70 | 1 | 0 |
| Kaleb Ort | 19 | 23 | 24 | 6.26 | 1 | 0 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers are 30-11 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Texas is 20-11 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits 73 times this season, and has a 52-21 record in those games.
- Texas is 47-15 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Rangers are 21-12 over the 33 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 27 games this season and are 18-9 in those matchups.
- In 27 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 19-8.
- They have a record of 35-27 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 45 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 36-9.
- They have a 11-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Rangers vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-115)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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