Jonathan India leads the Cincinnati Reds (47-39) into a matchup against the Washington Nationals (34-51) following his two-homer showing in an 8-4 victory over the Nationals. It begins at 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Reds are a tight favorite (-113 on the moneyline) when they meet the Nationals (-107). The game’s total is set at 9.5.
The insights in what follows reference odds valid as of July 5, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -113 | -107 | 9.5 |
Reds Betting Insights
- This season, the Reds have been favored 22 times and won 15, or 68.2%, of those games.
- Cincinnati is 13-6 this season when entering a game favored by -113 or more on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 53.1% chance of a victory for the Reds.
- Games involving Cincinnati has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 50 of 86 chances this season.
- The Reds are 52-34-0 ATS in their 86 games with a spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 19 |
| ERA | 4.99 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have come away with 32 wins in the 82 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Washington has been victorious 32 times in 81 chances when named as an underdog of at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Nationals have a 51.7% chance of pulling out a win.
- Washington and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of its 85 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Nationals have posted a record of 48-37-0 against the spread this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 5.10 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Graham Ashcraft
- Ashcraft’s team is 9-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run in 6 2/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Diego Padres.
- Ashcraft has made 11 starts of five or more innings in 15 chances this season, and averages 5.0 frames when he pitches.
- He has made 15 appearances and finished one of them without allowing an earned run.
- Ashcraft’s team is 1-1 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- In games Ashcraft has started, his team is 7-8.
- Out of Ashcraft’s 15 starts with a total this season, 10 have hit the over.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Farmer | 38 | 41.2 | 36 | 3.46 | 8 | 2 |
| Ian Gibaut | 37 | 40.1 | 33 | 3.57 | 9 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 37 | 38 | 58 | 2.13 | 1 | 24 |
| Alex Young | 36 | 33.2 | 33 | 2.67 | 9 | 1 |
| Lucas Sims | 32 | 32.2 | 42 | 3.31 | 13 | 1 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray
- Gray gets the start for the Nationals, his 18th of the season. He is 6-6 with a 3.30 ERA and 86 strikeouts through 95 1/3 innings pitched.
- The right-hander’s most recent time out came on Friday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he went six innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up six hits.
- Gray will try to prolong a seven-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.6 frames per appearance).
- He has had two appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Nationals have a 7-9 record in Gray’s 16 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Over Gray’s 17 starts, his team is 8-9.
- Gray’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in seven of 17 games.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Harvey | 36 | 37 | 41 | 3.16 | 11 | 8 |
| Mason Thompson | 33 | 39.2 | 37 | 3.40 | 8 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 32 | 35 | 33 | 3.34 | 7 | 11 |
| Andres Machado | 14 | 17 | 12 | 8.47 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan Weems | 12 | 15.2 | 18 | 1.72 | 0 | 0 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds have a 23-3 record this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Cincinnati has gone 20-5 in its 25 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has racked up eight or more hits 64 times this season, and has a 45-19 record in those games.
- Cincinnati is 48-9 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Reds have drawn five or more walks in 34 games this season, and are 15-19 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won 10 of the 17 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington has won nine of its 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 58 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 29-29.
- In 31 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 21-10.
- They have won eight of their 17 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Reds vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (-107)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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