The San Diego Padres (39-46) and Los Angeles Angels (45-42) do battle on Tuesday at 6:40 PM ET.
The favored Padres (-149 on the moneyline) take the field at home against the Angels (+126). The game’s over/under is set at 7.5.
The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of July 4, 2023 at 5:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Angels Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -149 | +126 | 7.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- The Padres have entered the game as favorites 62 times this season and won 31, or 50%, of those games.
- San Diego is 20-20 this season when entering a game favored by -149 or more on the moneyline.
- The Padres have a 59.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- San Diego and its opponents have hit the over in 32 of its 85 games with a total this season.
- The Padres are 39-46-0 against the spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.5 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 8.0 |
Angels Betting Insights
- The Angels have been underdogs in 35 games this season and have come away with the win 18 times (51.4%) in those contests.
- This year, Los Angeles has won five of 10 games when listed as at least +126 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Angels have a 44.2% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Los Angeles has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 41 of 87 chances this season.
- In 87 games with a line this season, the Angels have a mark of 42-45-0 against the spread.
Angels Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 20 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 11.1 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Joe Musgrove
- Musgrove and his team are 6-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Thursday, when he tossed six innings while giving up two earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
- Musgrove has pitched five or more innings in 10 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 12 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
- Musgrove’s team has won 70% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (7-3).
- In games Musgrove has started, his team is 7-5.
- Games Musgrove has started this season hit the over four times in 12 chances.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 37 | 36.2 | 22 | 3.93 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 32 | 30.2 | 46 | 1.17 | 0 | 18 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 29 | 40.2 | 36 | 3.32 | 3 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 29 | 27.1 | 26 | 5.93 | 8 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 28 | 61.2 | 50 | 3.94 | 10 | 1 |
Angels Probable Pitcher – Shohei Ohtani
- Ohtani (7-3 with a 3.12 ERA and 127 strikeouts in 95 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Angels, his 16th of the season.
- In his last time out on Wednesday, the right-hander went 6 1/3 innings against the Chicago White Sox, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
- Ohtani heads into this matchup with 15 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- He has had three appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Angels were named the moneyline underdog for two Ohtani starts this season — they split the games.
- Over Ohtani’s 15 starts, his team is 10-5.
- Ohtani’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in six of 15 games.
Angels Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Estévez | 33 | 34 | 42 | 1.85 | 2 | 21 |
| Chris Devenski | 25 | 30 | 31 | 3.60 | 10 | 0 |
| Aaron Loup | 25 | 22.2 | 22 | 4.37 | 5 | 0 |
| Jacob Webb | 18 | 19.2 | 21 | 2.29 | 6 | 1 |
| Tucker Davidson | 17 | 30.1 | 30 | 6.82 | 0 | 2 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 17-17 this season in games when they send out at least two home runs.
- San Diego has had five or more extra-base hits in 20 games this season, and has gone 14-6 in those contests.
- The club has totaled at least eight hits in 45 games this season, and is 30-15 in those contests.
- San Diego is 32-5 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Padres have gone 21-15 over the 36 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Angels Hitting Trends
- They are 24-12 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Los Angeles has won 14 of its 20 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 35 of the 58 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Los Angeles has a 35-12 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 16-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Padres vs. Angels Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-149)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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