The Miami Marlins (49-37) host the St. Louis Cardinals (35-49) on Tuesday at LoanDepot park, at 1:10 PM ET.
The Cardinals (+154 underdog on the moneyline) are away versus the Marlins (-185). The total for the game is 8.5 total runs.
The betting facts in what follows reflect odds as of July 4, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -185 | +154 | 8.5 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won 26, or 65%, of the 40 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Miami has a record of 4-2 when favored by -185 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Marlins, based on the moneyline, is 64.9%.
- Games involving Miami has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 39 of 86 chances this season.
- The Marlins are 40-46-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.15 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have been chosen as underdogs in 34 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (41.2%) in those games.
- St. Louis has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +154.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 39.4% chance of pulling out a win.
- St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 42 of its 84 opportunities.
- The Cardinals have posted a record of 37-47-0 against the spread this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 5.11 |
| K/9 | 6.5 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Jesus Luzardo
- When Luzardo starts, his team is 10-7-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander did not allow a run in 6 1/3 innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the Boston Red Sox.
- Luzardo has three starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has kept opponents from scoring an earned run in two straight appearances.
- Luzardo’s team is 4-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Luzardo’s team has won 11 of his 17 starts.
- In games Luzardo has started this season, the teams are 7-8-2 at hitting the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 38 | 36.2 | 48 | 3.19 | 7 | 2 |
| Tanner Scott | 35 | 40 | 58 | 3.15 | 15 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 34 | 32.2 | 34 | 4.13 | 9 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 32 | 42.2 | 45 | 3.16 | 10 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 28 | 29 | 39 | 2.79 | 9 | 0 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Adam Wainwright
- Wainwright (3-3 with a 7.45 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 48 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Cardinals, his 11th of the season.
- In his most recent appearance on Thursday against the Houston Astros, the righty threw 1 2/3 innings, giving up six earned runs while surrendering six hits.
- Wainwright is looking to secure his ninth start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
- He has not made an outing yet in 2023 that he did not allow at least one earned run.
- The Cardinals are 3-3 in Wainwright’s six starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Wainwright’s team has a 4-6 record in his 10 starts.
- Wainwright’s starts went over the run total five times in 10 games with a set total this season.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hicks | 32 | 34.1 | 52 | 3.93 | 6 | 5 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 30 | 33 | 32 | 4.64 | 10 | 8 |
| Chris Stratton | 29 | 40.2 | 43 | 4.65 | 2 | 0 |
| Andre Pallante | 27 | 30.2 | 28 | 4.11 | 8 | 0 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 27 | 29.1 | 35 | 4.91 | 5 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have a 10-18 record in games this season when they hit at least two homers.
- Miami has racked up at least five extra-base hits in 14 games this season, and has gone 13-1 in those contests.
- The club has notched eight or more hits in 68 games this season, and is 40-28 in those contests.
- Miami has a 32-10 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Marlins have gone 9-11 in the 20 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 41 games this season and are 28-13 in those matchups.
- In 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 23-3.
- They have a record of 37-21 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 41 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 33-8.
- They have won 10 of their 25 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Marlins vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Marlins (-185)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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