The Colorado Rockies (33-53) will look for Ezequiel Tovar to continue a 15-game hitting streak versus the Houston Astros (47-38), on Tuesday at 4:10 PM ET, at Minute Maid Park.
The Rockies are an underdog (+162 on the moneyline) when they take the field at the Astros (-194). The total for the game is set at 9.5 total runs.
The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of July 4, 2023 at 3:23 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Rockies Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -194 | +162 | 9.5 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been favorites in 57 games this season and won 30 (52.6%) of those contests.
- This season Houston has won 11 of its 15 games, or 73.3%, when favored by at least -194 on the moneyline.
- The Astros have a 66% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of its 85 games with a total this season.
- The Astros have an ATS record of 44-41-0 in 85 games with a spread this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.5 |
| HR | 17 |
| ERA | 4.60 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Rockies Betting Insights
- The Rockies have been chosen as underdogs in 75 games this year and have walked away with the win 30 times (40%) in those games.
- This season, Colorado has come away with a win 10 times in 36 chances when named as an underdog of at least +162 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Rockies have an implied victory probability of 38.2% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Colorado and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of its 86 opportunities.
- The Rockies are 39-47-0 against the spread in their 86 games that had a posted line this season.
Rockies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 8.40 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – Brandon Bielak
- Bielak and his team are 3-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, June 17, when he threw 4 2/3 innings against the Cincinnati Reds, giving up four earned runs.
- Bielak has made six starts of five or more innings in eight chances this season, and averages 5.2 frames when he pitches.
- He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
- Bielak’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-2).
- In games Bielak has started, his team is 3-5.
- In games Bielak has started this season, the teams are 2-6-0 at hitting the over.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 38 | 40 | 60 | 2.93 | 14 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 38 | 42.1 | 49 | 1.70 | 6 | 0 |
| Héctor Neris | 35 | 34.2 | 39 | 1.30 | 16 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 35 | 37.1 | 40 | 2.65 | 0 | 18 |
| Rafael Montero | 34 | 34.1 | 38 | 7.08 | 5 | 1 |
Rockies Probable Pitcher – Kyle Freeland
- Freeland makes the start for the Rockies, his 18th of the season. He is 4-8 with a 4.88 ERA and 60 strikeouts in 90 1/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty’s last appearance was on Thursday against the Los Angeles Dodgers, when he went five innings, surrendering six earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Freeland will look to build on a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 frames per appearance).
- He has had four appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Rockies are 6-9 in Freeland’s 15 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Freeland’s team has won seven of his 17 starts.
- Freeland’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in six of 17 games.
Rockies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bird | 37 | 53.1 | 52 | 3.54 | 5 | 0 |
| Pierce Johnson | 36 | 34 | 49 | 6.35 | 2 | 13 |
| Justin Lawrence | 35 | 43 | 44 | 2.93 | 7 | 5 |
| Brad Hand | 32 | 28.1 | 34 | 4.76 | 2 | 0 |
| Daniel Bard | 27 | 28.1 | 26 | 1.91 | 3 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros are 19-7 this season in games when they hit at least two home runs.
- Houston has had at least five extra-base hits in 19 games this season, and has gone 14-5 in those outings.
- The club has notched eight or more hits in 59 games this season, and is 47-12 in those contests.
- Houston is 44-7 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Astros have drawn at least five walks in 25 games this season, and are 19-6 in those contests.
Rockies Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 17 games this season and are 10-7 in those matchups.
- In 22 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-11.
- They have a record of 27-30 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Colorado has a 26-9 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 12 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 8-4
Astros vs. Rockies Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Astros (-194)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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