The Washington Nationals (34-50) are looking for another strong showing from a slugger on a roll versus the Cincinnati Reds (46-39) on Tuesday at 11:05 AM ET, at Nationals Park. Jeimer Candelario is on a two-game homer streak.
The Reds are favored (-112) in an expected tight game against the Nationals (-107). The contest has a set total of 10.
The betting facts in this article reflect odds as of July 4, 2023 at 11:20 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Reds vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reds | -112 | -107 | 10 |
Reds Betting Insights
- This season, the Reds have won 14 out of the 21 games, or 66.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Cincinnati has entered 19 games this season favored by -112 or more and is 13-6 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 52.8% chance of a victory for the Reds.
- So far this season, Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 49 of 85 games with a total.
- The Reds have an ATS record of 51-34-0 in 85 games with a spread this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 20 |
| ERA | 5.58 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have come away with 32 wins in the 81 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Washington has won 32 of 81 games when listed as at least -107 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 51.7% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Washington has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 39 of 84 chances this season.
- The Nationals have an against the spread record of 48-36-0 in 84 games with a line this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.66 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
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Reds Probable Pitcher – Brett Kennedy
- This will be the first start of the season for the 28-year-old right-hander, who has not made an appearance on the mound in over a season.
- Kennedy did not pitch as the moneyline favorite in any games last season.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Farmer | 38 | 41.2 | 36 | 3.46 | 8 | 2 |
| Ian Gibaut | 37 | 40.1 | 33 | 3.57 | 9 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 37 | 38 | 58 | 2.13 | 1 | 24 |
| Alex Young | 35 | 32.2 | 33 | 2.76 | 8 | 1 |
| Lucas Sims | 31 | 31.2 | 40 | 3.41 | 13 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Patrick Corbin
- Corbin makes the start for the Nationals, his 18th of the season. He is 5-9 with a 4.93 ERA and 66 strikeouts in 96 2/3 innings pitched.
- His most recent appearance came on Wednesday against the Seattle Mariners, when the lefty tossed seven scoreless innings while giving up five hits.
- Corbin will look to extend a 17-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.7 frames per outing).
- In one of his 17 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Nationals are 7-9 in Corbin’s 16 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Corbin’s team has won eight of his 17 starts.
- Corbin’s starts went over the run total eight times in 17 games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Harvey | 36 | 37 | 41 | 3.16 | 11 | 8 |
| Mason Thompson | 33 | 39.2 | 37 | 3.40 | 8 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 32 | 35 | 33 | 3.34 | 7 | 11 |
| Andres Machado | 14 | 17 | 12 | 8.47 | 1 | 0 |
| Jordan Weems | 12 | 15.2 | 18 | 1.72 | 0 | 0 |
Reds Hitting Trends
- The Reds have a 22-3 record this season in games when they smash at least two home runs.
- Cincinnati is 20-5 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has put up eight or more hits 63 times this season, and has a 44-19 record in those games.
- Cincinnati has a 47-9 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Reds have gone 14-19 in the 33 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 17 games this season and are 10-7 in those matchups.
- In 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 9-3.
- They have won 29 of the 58 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has won 21 of its 31 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 8-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Reds vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Nationals (-107)
Over/Under Pick: Over (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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