Blue Jays vs. White Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 4, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 3, 2023

The Toronto Blue Jays (45-40) will attempt to snap a three-game losing streak when visiting the Chicago White Sox (37-49) at 8:10 PM ET on Tuesday.

As the favorite, the Blue Jays (-122 moneyline odds to win) visit the White Sox (+103). The game’s total is set at 8.5.

The betting insights in what follows reflect odds as of July 4, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Blue Jays vs White Sox Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Blue Jays -122 +103 8.5

Blue Jays Betting Insights

  • The Blue Jays have won 33, or 54.1%, of the 61 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • This season Toronto has won 27 of its 51 games, or 52.9%, when favored by at least -122 on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Blue Jays have a 55% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Toronto and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of 85 games with a total.
  • In 85 games with a spread this season, the Blue Jays are 38-47-0 ATS.

Blue Jays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 4.7
HR 12
ERA 3.30
K/9 10.9

White Sox Betting Insights

  • The White Sox have come away with 19 wins in the 52 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Chicago has come away with a win 14 times in 44 chances when named as an underdog of at least +103 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the White Sox have a 49.3% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of its 86 opportunities.
  • In 86 games with a line this season, the White Sox have a mark of 42-44-0 against the spread.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 5.1
HR 14
ERA 4.55
K/9 10.8

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Blue Jays Probable Pitcher – Chris Bassitt

  • When Bassitt starts, his team is 7-10-0 against the spread this season.
  • The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw six scoreless innings against the San Francisco Giants while allowing three hits.
  • Bassitt has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
  • He has made 17 appearances and finished six of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Bassitt’s team is 4-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Bassitt’s team has a 9-8 record in his starts this season.
  • Games started by Bassitt have a 6-10-1 record at hitting the over this season.

Blue Jays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Tim Mayza 39 28.1 27 1.27 10 1
Erik Swanson 39 40.1 47 3.35 20 1
Yimi Garcia 36 34.2 42 4.93 9 0
Jordan Romano 35 34.2 42 3.12 1 24
Trevor Richards 24 41 62 3.29 4 0

White Sox Probable Pitcher – Lucas Giolito

  • Giolito (6-5 with a 3.53 ERA and 108 strikeouts in 99 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the White Sox, his 18th of the season.
  • In his last time out on Thursday, the right-hander threw seven innings against the Los Angeles Angels, giving up four earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • Giolito will look to build on a seven-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.8 frames per appearance).
  • He has had two appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
  • The White Sox have been the underdog on the moneyline in 10 of Giolito’s starts this season, and they went 3-7 in those matchups.
  • Giolito’s team has a 7-10 record in his starts this season.
  • Giolito has had 17 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and seven of those outings finished over the total.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Kendall Graveman 36 36 34 3.00 8 6
Gregory Santos 35 42.2 42 2.95 3 1
Reynaldo López 34 35 41 5.14 8 4
Aaron Bummer 32 28.1 34 6.35 7 0
Keynan Middleton 31 30 39 2.70 3 2

Blue Jays Hitting Trends

  • The Blue Jays are 17-10 this season in games when they crush at least two bombs.
  • Toronto has gone 12-4 in its 16 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up at least eight hits 68 times this season, and has a 42-26 record in those games.
  • Toronto is 33-11 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Blue Jays are 12-7 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

White Sox Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 29 games this season and are 14-15 in those matchups.
  • Chicago has won 11 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 29 of the 52 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • In 32 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 23-9.
  • They have a 5-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Blue Jays vs. White Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Blue Jays (-122)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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