Dodgers vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 2, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 2, 2023

The Los Angeles Dodgers (46-36) and Kansas City Royals (24-59) play a rubber match on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.

The Royals (+154 underdog on the moneyline) host the Dodgers (-183). The over/under for this game is 9.5.

The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of July 2, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Royals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -183 +154 9.5

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • The Dodgers have been favorites in 69 games this season and won 40 (58%) of those contests.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 11-10 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -183 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 64.7%.
  • Games involving Los Angeles has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 46 of 82 chances this season.
  • In 82 games with a spread this season, the Dodgers are 42-40-0 ATS.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.0
HR 14
ERA 3.30
K/9 7.3

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have come away with 21 wins in the 70 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Kansas City has been victorious nine times in 30 chances when named as an underdog of at least +154 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Royals have an implied victory probability of 39.4% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 38 of its 83 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Royals have an against the spread mark of 33-50-0 in 83 games with a line this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 6
ERA 5.93
K/9 6.8

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Tony Gonsolin

  • Gonsolin and his team are 6-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up four earned runs in five innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Houston Astros.
  • Gonsolin will look to finish five or more innings for the 10th start in a row.
  • He has made 11 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Gonsolin’s team has a record of 5-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Gonsolin’s team has a 5-6 record in his starts this season.
  • Out of Gonsolin’s 11 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 35 34.2 32 5.45 7 0
Brusdar Graterol 34 36 27 2.00 7 4
Caleb Ferguson 31 30 33 3.00 11 2
Evan Phillips 31 32 37 1.97 6 11
Phil Bickford 27 32.2 45 6.06 2 0

Royals Probable Pitcher – Brady Singer

  • Singer (4-7 with a 5.88 ERA and 70 strikeouts in 82 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Royals, his 17th of the season.
  • In his most recent outing on Wednesday against the Cleveland Guardians, the righty tossed six scoreless innings while surrendering four hits.
  • Singer will look to go five or more innings for his fourth straight start. He’s averaging 5.1 frames per outing.
  • In two of his 16 total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
  • The Royals are 4-6 in Singer’s 10 starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Singer’s team has won six of his 16 starts.
  • Singer has had 16 starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in eight of those matchups.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jose Cuas 33 33.2 42 4.54 2 0
Taylor Clarke 31 35.1 39 4.84 9 0
Scott Barlow 28 31 43 4.06 0 10
Carlos Hernandez 28 41.2 49 4.10 4 0
Amir Garrett 22 22 24 2.86 0 0

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers have a 33-12 record this season in games when they belt two or more home runs.
  • Los Angeles has gone 20-9 in its 29 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 37-16 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
  • Los Angeles is 39-13 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Dodgers are 26-12 over the 38 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They are 6-12 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Kansas City has won eight of its 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 48 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 17-31.
  • Kansas City has won 15 of its 25 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won two of their 12 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Dodgers vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-183)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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