The Seattle Mariners (39-42) and Tampa Bay Rays (57-29) play a rubber match on Sunday at 4:10 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Mariners are favored at home (-128) against the Rays (+108). The matchup has an over/under set at 7.5 total runs.
The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of July 2, 2023 at 3:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -128 | +108 | 7.5 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- The Mariners have entered the game as favorites 55 times this season and won 29, or 52.7%, of those games.
- Seattle has a record of 23-20, a 53.5% win rate, when favored by -128 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The Mariners have a 56.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 41 of 81 games with a total.
- In 81 games with a spread this season, the Mariners are 35-46-0 ATS.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 18 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have come away with six wins in the 13 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Tampa Bay has been victorious one time in five chances when named as an underdog of at least +108 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Rays have an implied victory probability of 48.1% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 48 of its 86 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Rays have an against the spread record of 50-36-0 in 86 games with a line this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.1 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.40 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Luis Castillo
- Castillo and his team are 5-11-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed seven hits in seven innings pitched against the Washington Nationals on Tuesday.
- Castillo has pitched five or more innings in 16 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has five appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 16 chances this season.
- When Castillo starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 7-7.
- Castillo’s team is 7-9 when he starts this season.
- Out of Castillo’s 16 starts with a total this season, seven have hit the over.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 39 | 33.2 | 59 | 3.74 | 6 | 1 |
| Gabe Speier | 35 | 28.2 | 27 | 4.08 | 8 | 0 |
| Paul Sewald | 34 | 33.1 | 45 | 2.7 | 0 | 15 |
| Justin Topa | 33 | 31 | 27 | 3.19 | 13 | 1 |
| Trevor Gott | 28 | 29 | 32 | 4.03 | 7 | 0 |
Rays Probable Pitcher – Taj Bradley
- Bradley (5-4 with a 4.58 ERA and 73 strikeouts in 53 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Rays, his 12th of the season.
- His last time out came on Wednesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when the righty threw four innings, surrendering six earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Bradley enters the matchup with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this year.
- In two of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Rays were named the moneyline underdog for one Bradley start this season — they lost.
- In Bradley’s 11 starts, his team is 6-5.
- Bradley’s starts went over the run total seven times in 11 games with a set total this season.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 34 | 34.1 | 43 | 2.88 | 8 | 10 |
| Colin Poche | 33 | 30.2 | 23 | 2.05 | 12 | 1 |
| Jake Diekman | 33 | 28 | 35 | 4.5 | 7 | 0 |
| Kevin Kelly | 31 | 37 | 29 | 2.92 | 8 | 2 |
| Robert Stephenson | 30 | 25.2 | 33 | 4.56 | 8 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners are 19-8 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Seattle has gone 9-1 in its 10 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has notched eight or more hits 50 times this season, and has a 31-19 record in those games.
- Seattle is 36-7 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mariners have drawn at least five walks in 31 games this season, and are 22-9 in those contests.
Rays Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 41 games this season and are 32-9 in those matchups.
- In 26 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 24-2.
- They have won 43 of the 66 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Tampa Bay has a 43-16 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 18-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mariners vs. Rays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (+108)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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