The Pittsburgh Pirates (39-43) and Milwaukee Brewers (44-39) square off on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET at PNC Park, attempting to break a 1-1 series tie.
A projected tight matchup features the Pirates (-115 moneyline odds to win) against the Brewers (-105). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting insights in this article reflect odds as of July 2, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Pirates vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pirates | -115 | -105 | 8.5 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- This season, the Pirates have won 12 out of the 19 games, or 63.2%, in which they’ve been favored.
- This season Pittsburgh has won 11 of its 18 games, or 61.1%, when favored by at least -115 on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Pirates have a 53.5% chance to win.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 40 of 82 opportunities.
- The Pirates are 39-43-0 against the spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 4.25 |
| K/9 | 6.2 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been victorious in 21, or 52.5%, of the 40 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Milwaukee has won 19 of 38 games when listed as at least -105 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 51.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Milwaukee has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 35 of 83 chances this season.
- The Brewers are 38-45-0 against the spread in their 83 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
If you’re looking for a place to bet on the Pirates or Brewers, look no further than DraftKings Sportsbook, where you can use our link to get the best offer for new depositors!
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Rich Hill
- Hill and his team are 7-9-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Tuesday, when he threw six innings against the San Diego Padres, giving up four earned runs while allowing nine hits.
- Hill has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 16 chances this season.
- When Hill starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 3-1.
- Hill’s team has won eight of his 16 starts.
- In Hill’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 34 | 35 | 46 | 3.86 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 30 | 31.1 | 37 | 1.44 | 0 | 16 |
| Colin Holderman | 26 | 25.1 | 28 | 3.91 | 12 | 1 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
| Angel Perdomo | 12 | 11.1 | 18 | 3.18 | 2 | 0 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Colin Rea
- Rea makes the start for the Brewers, his 14th of the season. He is 4-4 with a 4.57 ERA and 57 strikeouts over 69 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent time out came on Monday against the New York Mets, when he went 6 1/3 innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing three hits.
- Rea is aiming for his eighth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.9 frames per start.
- In two of his 14 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Brewers have a 5-2 record in Rea’s seven starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Rea’s team has put together an 8-5 record over his 13 starts.
- Rea has started 13 contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in five of them.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 37 | 31.2 | 27 | 2.56 | 8 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 34 | 38.1 | 42 | 2.11 | 14 | 2 |
| Devin Williams | 28 | 28.2 | 38 | 1.57 | 0 | 16 |
| Bryse Wilson | 27 | 39 | 31 | 2.77 | 2 | 3 |
| Elvis Peguero | 27 | 30 | 26 | 2.70 | 8 | 1 |
Pirates Hitting Trends
- The Pirates have an 18-5 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Pittsburgh has gone 16-2 in its 18 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 28-9 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Pittsburgh is 25-5 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Pirates have gone 12-12 over the 24 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 38 games this season and are 32-6 in those matchups.
- Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in seven games this season and won each of them.
- They have a record of 32-10 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Milwaukee has won 41 of its 46 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 22 of their 30 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Pirates vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Pirates (-115)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
Ready to bet? Check out our great offer for new users at DraftKings, no promo code required!
Odds subject to change. Not all offers available in all areas. See DraftKings for offer details, terms and conditions. Must be 21+ to gamble, please wager responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
