Joey Gallo rides a two-game homer streak into the Minnesota Twins’ (42-42) game against the Baltimore Orioles (48-33) at 12:05 PM ET on Sunday, at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
The Orioles are an underdog (+100 on the moneyline to win) when they host the Twins (-118). The total for this game is set at 9.
The betting trends in this article reference odds valid as of July 2, 2023 at 11:14 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Twins vs Orioles Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Twins | -118 | +100 | 9 |
Twins Betting Insights
- This season, the Twins have been favored 50 times and won 31, or 62%, of those games.
- Minnesota is 29-18 this season when entering a game favored by -118 or more on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 54.1% chance to win.
- Games involving Minnesota has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 35 of 84 chances this season.
- The Twins have an ATS record of 40-44-0 in 84 games with a spread this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.5 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 2.56 |
| K/9 | 10.3 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have been victorious in 20, or 48.8%, of the 41 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Baltimore has won 17 of 33 games when listed as at least +100 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Orioles have a 50% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Contests with Baltimore has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 41 of 81 chances this season.
- The Orioles are 48-33-0 against the spread in their 81 games that had a posted line this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.24 |
| K/9 | 10.7 |
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Twins Probable Pitcher – Sonny Gray
- When Gray starts, his team is 7-9-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Atlanta Braves.
- Gray will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- In 16 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- Gray’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-4.
- Gray’s team has won eight of his 16 starts this season.
- In games Gray has started this season, the teams are 7-8-1 at hitting the over.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 36 | 35 | 34 | 2.83 | 11 | 1 |
| Jovani Moran | 30 | 33.2 | 39 | 4.28 | 7 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 29 | 32 | 42 | 1.41 | 1 | 12 |
| Emilio Pagán | 28 | 34.1 | 32 | 3.93 | 0 | 0 |
| Brent Headrick | 7 | 14 | 16 | 5.14 | 0 | 1 |
Orioles Probable Pitcher – Cole Irvin
- Irvin (1-3) gets the starting nod for the Orioles in his seventh start of the season. He has a 7.18 ERA in 26 1/3 innings pitched, with 27 strikeouts.
- In his most recent time out on Monday, the lefty went three innings against the Cincinnati Reds, allowing one earned run while surrendering three hits.
- Irvin has put up one start this year where he pitched five or more innings.
- In one of his appearances this season he has not surrender an earned run.
- The Orioles were the moneyline underdog for three Irvin starts this season — they lost every game.
- In Irvin’s six starts, his team is 3-3.
- Irvin has had six starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in four of those games.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 37 | 41.1 | 45 | 3.92 | 5 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | 35 | 32.1 | 42 | 4.18 | 10 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 34 | 37.2 | 76 | 1.19 | 0 | 21 |
| Danny Coulombe | 34 | 28.2 | 38 | 2.20 | 16 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 33 | 40.1 | 37 | 1.12 | 18 | 4 |
Twins Hitting Trends
- The Twins have a 33-8 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
- Minnesota has gone 24-1 in its 25 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has strung together at least eight hits in 50 games this season, and is 39-11 in those contests.
- Minnesota has a 40-4 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Twins have gone 16-11 over the 27 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Orioles Hitting Trends
- They have won 23 of the 33 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Baltimore has won 19 of its 21 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 35 of the 51 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Baltimore has won 36 of its 45 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 18-5
Twins vs. Orioles Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (+100)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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