Ronald Acuna Jr. carries a 12-game hitting streak into the Atlanta Braves’ (55-27) game against the Miami Marlins (48-36) at 1:35 PM ET on Sunday, at Truist Park.
The favored Braves (-230 on the moneyline) play at home against the Marlins (+190). The game’s over/under is 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of July 2, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -230 | +190 | 8.5 |
Braves Betting Insights
- This season, the Braves have been favored 71 times and won 48, or 67.6%, of those games.
- This season Atlanta has won 14 of its 18 games, or 77.8%, when favored by at least -230 on the moneyline.
- The Braves have a 69.7% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Atlanta and its opponents have hit the over in 45 of its 82 games with a total this season.
- The Braves are 42-40-0 against the spread in their 82 chances this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.9 |
| HR | 29 |
| ERA | 3.10 |
| K/9 | 10.1 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have come away with 23 wins in the 45 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- Miami has a mark of 1-2 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +190 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 34.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of its 84 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Marlins have posted a record of 40-44-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.00 |
| K/9 | 9.1 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Spencer Strider
- Strider’s team is 9-7-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Monday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in seven innings against the Minnesota Twins.
- Strider has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 16 chances this season.
- Strider’s team has a record of 14-2 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Strider’s team is 14-2 when he starts this season.
- Out of Strider’s 16 starts with a total this season, 11 have hit the over.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 39 | 37.2 | 47 | 5.26 | 8 | 10 |
| Nick Anderson | 31 | 33 | 35 | 3.27 | 13 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 29 | 31.2 | 45 | 2.84 | 5 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 28 | 27.2 | 32 | 3.25 | 6 | 0 |
| Collin McHugh | 24 | 33.2 | 23 | 3.48 | 6 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Sandy Alcantara
- Alcantara gets the start for the Marlins, his 17th of the season. He is 3-6 with a 4.91 ERA and 83 strikeouts through 102 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent appearance on Tuesday against the Boston Red Sox, the right-hander went seven innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering six hits.
- Alcantara will try to prolong a 14-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.4 frames per appearance).
- He has had one outing this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Marlins have a 2-4 record in Alcantara’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Over Alcantara’s 16 starts, his team is 7-9.
- Alcantara’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in 11 of 16 games.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 36 | 35.1 | 46 | 2.55 | 7 | 2 |
| Tanner Scott | 34 | 39 | 56 | 3.23 | 14 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 33 | 31.2 | 33 | 4.26 | 9 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 31 | 41.2 | 43 | 3.24 | 10 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 28 | 29 | 39 | 2.79 | 9 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves have hit two or more dingers in 43 games this season, and are 33-10 in those outings.
- Atlanta is 21-1 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits 60 times this season, and has a 44-16 record in those games.
- Atlanta has a 44-8 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves are 15-8 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They have won 10 of the 28 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Miami has gone 13-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 40-27 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Miami has won 31 of its 41 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 20 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 9-11
Braves vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-230)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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