Rays vs. Mariners Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – July 1, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on July 1, 2023

The Seattle Mariners (38-42) take a three-game losing streak into a matchup versus the Tampa Bay Rays (57-28), at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday.

The Rays are favored (-117) in a projected tight game against the Mariners (-102). The matchup has an over/under of 7 total runs.

The insights in the article below reflect odds as of July 1, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Rays vs Mariners Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Rays -117 -102 7

Rays Betting Insights

  • This season, the Rays have won 51 out of the 72 games, or 70.8%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Tampa Bay is 50-17 this season when entering a game favored by -117 or more on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 53.9% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Tampa Bay and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of 85 games with a total.
  • The Rays are 50-35-0 against the spread in their 85 chances this season.

Rays Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 6.4
HR 11
ERA 4.35
K/9 10.3

Mariners Betting Insights

  • The Mariners have been chosen as underdogs in 25 games this year and have walked away with the win nine times (36%) in those games.
  • Seattle has a win-loss record of 8-10 when favored by -102 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Mariners have a 50.5% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Seattle and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of its 80 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Mariners have posted a record of 34-46-0 against the spread this season.

Mariners Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.9
HR 17
ERA 4.45
K/9 7.6

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Rays Probable Pitcher – Tyler Glasnow

  • Glasnow’s team is 5-1-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in five innings pitched against the Kansas City Royals on Sunday.
  • Glasnow has four starts of five or more innings this season in six chances. He averages 5.0 innings per outing.
  • He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
  • When Glasnow starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-2.
  • Glasnow’s team has a 4-2 record in his starts this season.
  • Games Glasnow has started this season hit the over four times in six chances.

Rays Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jason Adam 34 34.1 43 2.88 8 10
Colin Poche 33 30.2 23 2.05 12 1
Jake Diekman 33 28 35 4.50 7 0
Kevin Kelly 31 37 29 2.92 8 2
Robert Stephenson 29 24.2 32 4.01 8 0

Mariners Probable Pitcher – George Kirby

  • Kirby (6-7 with a 3.26 ERA and 79 strikeouts in 94 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Mariners, his 16th of the season.
  • In his last time out on Sunday against the Baltimore Orioles, the righty threw 6 1/3 innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering six hits.
  • Kirby will try to prolong a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 6.3 innings per outing).
  • In three of his 15 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
  • The Mariners were the underdog on the moneyline for three Kirby starts this season — they lost every game.
  • Kirby’s team has won seven of his 15 starts.
  • Kirby’s starts hit the over on the run total seven times in 15 games with a set total this season.

Mariners Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Matt Brash 39 33.2 59 3.74 6 1
Gabe Speier 35 28.2 27 4.08 8 0
Paul Sewald 33 31.2 42 2.84 0 14
Justin Topa 32 30.2 27 3.23 13 1
Trevor Gott 28 29 32 4.03 7 0

Rays Hitting Trends

  • The Rays have a 32-9 record this season in games when they belt two or more home runs.
  • Tampa Bay has gone 24-2 in its 26 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team is 43-23 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
  • Tampa Bay is 43-16 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Rays have drawn at least five walks in 22 games this season, and are 18-4 in those contests.

Mariners Hitting Trends

  • They are 19-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Seattle has gone 8-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 30-19 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Seattle has a 35-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 22-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Rays vs. Mariners Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Rays (-117)
Over/Under Pick: Over (7)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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