The Houston Astros (45-37) bring a three-game win streak into a home contest versus the Texas Rangers (49-33), at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The favored Rangers (-136 on the moneyline to win) play at home against the Astros (+115). The over/under for this game is 8.
The insights in this article use the latest odds as of July 1, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -136 | +115 | 8 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have been favorites in 52 games this season and won 32 (61.5%) of those contests.
- Texas is 25-15 this season when entering a game favored by -136 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Rangers, based on the moneyline, is 57.6%.
- Texas’ games have gone over the total in 44 of its 82 chances.
- The Rangers are 50-32-0 against the spread in their 82 chances this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have been underdogs in 25 games this season and have come away with the win 15 times (60%) in those contests.
- Houston has a mark of 5-5 in contests where oddsmakers favor it by +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Astros have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over in 41 of its 82 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Astros are 42-40-0 against the spread in their 82 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.1 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.06 |
| K/9 | 9.3 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Nathan Eovaldi
- Eovaldi’s team is 10-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up two earned runs and allowed four hits in 5 2/3 innings against the New York Yankees.
- Eovaldi has pitched five or more innings in 16 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has five appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 16 chances this season.
- Eovaldi’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-4.
- Eovaldi’s team has won nine of his 16 starts this season.
- Games started by Eovaldi have a 9-5-2 record at hitting the over this season.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aroldis Chapman | 29 | 29.1 | 53 | 2.45 | 8 | 2 |
| Will Smith | 28 | 29.2 | 33 | 2.73 | 4 | 14 |
| Brock Burke | 24 | 32 | 24 | 3.09 | 8 | 0 |
| Josh Sborz | 23 | 33.1 | 45 | 2.7 | 9 | 0 |
| Joe Barlow | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Astros Probable Pitcher – Hunter Brown
- The Astros will send Brown (6-4) out to make his 16th start of the season. He is 6-4 with a 3.62 ERA and 97 strikeouts over 87 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Sunday, the righty threw six innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, allowing one earned run while surrendering three hits.
- Brown will look to continue a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.8 innings per appearance).
- He has made four appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Astros have been the moneyline underdog in four of Brown’s starts this season, and they went 3-1 in those games.
- In Brown’s 15 starts, his team is 9-6.
- Brown has had 15 starts with a set total this season, and the teams combined to hit the over in seven of those outings.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 36 | 38 | 58 | 2.61 | 13 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 36 | 40.2 | 47 | 1.77 | 6 | 0 |
| Héctor Neris | 33 | 32.2 | 36 | 1.1 | 16 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 33 | 35.1 | 38 | 2.8 | 0 | 16 |
| Rafael Montero | 33 | 33.1 | 37 | 7.29 | 5 | 1 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers are 30-10 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Texas has put up five or more extra-base hits in 30 games this season, and has gone 20-10 in those outings.
- The club has collected at least eight hits in 70 games this season, and is 50-20 in those contests.
- Texas is 45-14 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Rangers have drawn at least five walks in 32 games this season, and are 20-12 in those contests.
Astros Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 25 games this season and are 18-7 in those matchups.
- In 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 13-5.
- In 57 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 45-12.
- Houston has won 42 of its 49 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 25 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 19-6
Rangers vs. Astros Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-136)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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