The Washington Nationals (33-48) will look to keep a three-game win streak alive when they visit the Philadelphia Phillies (43-38) at 4:05 PM ET on Saturday.
The Nationals (+179 underdog on the moneyline to win) are away versus the Phillies (-214). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting facts in what follows reference odds valid as of July 1, 2023 at 3:16 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -214 | +179 | 8.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have won 30, or 60%, of the 50 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Philadelphia is 5-2 this season when entering a game favored by -214 or more on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 68.2% chance to win.
- Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 31 of 81 chances this season.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 36-45-0 in 81 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 2.37 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been chosen as underdogs in 78 games this year and have walked away with the win 31 times (39.7%) in those games.
- This season, Washington has come away with a win 10 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +179 or longer on the moneyline.
- The Nationals have an implied victory probability of 35.8% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 38 of its 81 opportunities.
- In 81 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 46-35-0 against the spread.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 4.00 |
| K/9 | 9.2 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Zack Wheeler
- Wheeler’s team is 7-9-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed 5 1/3 innings while giving up five earned runs on nine hits in a matchup with the New York Mets.
- Wheeler has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished four appearances without allowing an earned run in 16 chances this season.
- Wheeler’s team has won 57.1% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (8-6).
- Wheeler’s team is 10-6 when he starts this season.
- In Wheeler’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 35 | 33 | 53 | 3.82 | 3 | 12 |
| Gregory Soto | 35 | 31.1 | 35 | 4.31 | 12 | 1 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 24 | 35 | 31 | 1.8 | 0 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 23 | 23.1 | 37 | 2.31 | 5 | 6 |
| Yunior Marte | 21 | 19.2 | 22 | 5.95 | 2 | 1 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – MacKenzie Gore
- Gore makes the start for the Nationals, his 17th of the season. He is 4-6 with a 3.89 ERA and 104 strikeouts in 85 2/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty’s most recent time out came on Sunday against the San Diego Padres, when he threw five innings, surrendering one earned run while allowing five hits.
- Gore will try to prolong a seven-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 innings per outing).
- He has had two appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Nationals have a 5-10 record in Gore’s 15 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Gore’s team has a 5-11 record over his 16 starts.
- Gore has started 16 contests with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in six of them.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Harvey | 35 | 36 | 41 | 3.25 | 11 | 7 |
| Mason Thompson | 32 | 39.1 | 36 | 3.2 | 7 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 31 | 33.1 | 33 | 3.51 | 6 | 11 |
| Thad Ward | 20 | 29.2 | 26 | 6.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 14 | 17 | 12 | 8.47 | 1 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 16-6 record this season in games when they hit two or more homers.
- Philadelphia is 14-5 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 33-21 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Philadelphia is 31-5 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 24 games this season, and are 18-6 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won nine of the 16 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington has won nine of its 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 55 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 28-27.
- Washington has won 20 of its 30 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 8-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-214)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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