The Cleveland Guardians (39-42) carry a three-game losing streak into a home matchup versus the Chicago Cubs (38-42), at 7:15 PM ET on Saturday.
The Cubs are favored at home (-132) against the Guardians (+111). The over/under in the game is set at 8 total runs.
The insights in the article below reflect odds as of July 1, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -132 | +111 | 8 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have won 23, or 57.5%, of the 40 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Chicago has a record of 13-8 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -132 on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win from the Cubs, based on the moneyline, is 56.9%.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 38 of 80 opportunities.
- In 80 games with a spread this season, the Cubs are 41-39-0 ATS.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.4 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 2.93 |
| K/9 | 7.2 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have won in 15, or 42.9%, of the 35 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Cleveland has a win-loss record of 8-13 when favored by +111 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
- The Guardians have an implied victory probability of 47.4% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 34 of its 81 opportunities.
- The Guardians have an against the spread record of 39-42-0 in 81 games with a line this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.46 |
| K/9 | 8.5 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Marcus Stroman
- When Stroman starts, his team is 9-8-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Sunday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed eight hits in 3 1/3 innings against the St. Louis Cardinals.
- In 17 starts, Stroman has pitched through or past the fifth inning 15 times. He has a season average of 6.0 frames per outing.
- In 17 appearances this season, he has finished six without allowing an earned run.
- Stroman’s team has a record of 6-4 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
- Stroman’s team has a 10-7 record in his starts this season.
- Games started by Stroman have a 4-12-1 record at hitting the over this season.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 34 | 35.2 | 39 | 4.79 | 6 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 33 | 34.1 | 47 | 2.88 | 3 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 31 | 33.2 | 48 | 2.41 | 13 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 26 | 34 | 36 | 1.85 | 7 | 4 |
| Michael Rucker | 25 | 31.1 | 35 | 4.31 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Tanner Bibee
- The Guardians are sending Bibee (4-2) to make his 12th start of the season. He is 4-2 with a 3.79 ERA and 58 strikeouts in 59 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last pitched on Saturday, June 24 against the Milwaukee Brewers, when he tossed six innings, allowing one earned run while giving up three hits.
- Bibee will try to extend a three-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.4 frames per outing).
- He has not had an appearance yet in 2023 where he did not give up at least one earned run.
- The Guardians have a 1-5 record in Bibee’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Bibee’s team has put together a 5-6 record in his 11 starts.
- Bibee’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in five of 11 contests.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 38 | 38.2 | 36 | 2.56 | 0 | 24 |
| Trevor Stephan | 36 | 35 | 39 | 2.57 | 11 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 33 | 33 | 29 | 2.73 | 6 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 30 | 33.1 | 32 | 1.89 | 5 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 26 | 28.2 | 27 | 3.14 | 2 | 0 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have an 18-13 record this season in games when they belt two or more home runs.
- Chicago has gone 13-2 in its 15 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits in 53 games this season, and is 38-15 in those contests.
- Chicago has a 30-8 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Cubs have gone 16-14 over the 30 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They have won 10 of the 12 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Cleveland has gone 11-5 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have a record of 26-22 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Cleveland has a 21-5 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 22 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-9
Cubs vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-132)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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