The Atlanta Braves (53-27) host the Miami Marlins (48-34) on Friday at 7:20 PM ET, with both teams on win streaks. The Braves have taken five straight, and the Marlins five straight.
The Braves are favored at home (-187) against the Marlins (+156). The game’s over/under is set at 10.
The betting trends in the following article use the latest odds as of June 30, 2023 at 7:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Braves vs Marlins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Braves | -187 | +156 | 10 |
Braves Betting Insights
- The Braves have won 46, or 66.7%, of the 69 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Atlanta has entered 28 games this season favored by -187 or more and is 22-6 in those contests.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 65.2% chance to win.
- Games involving Atlanta has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 44 of 80 chances this season.
- The Braves have an ATS record of 40-40-0 in 80 games with a spread this season.
Braves Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 9-1 |
| Runs Per Game | 7.0 |
| HR | 29 |
| ERA | 3.40 |
| K/9 | 10.9 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have won in 23, or 53.5%, of the 43 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Miami has won four of eight games when listed as at least +156 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Marlins have a 39.1% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 36 of its 82 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Marlins have posted a record of 40-42-0 against the spread this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.5 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 1.86 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
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Braves Probable Pitcher – Mike Soroka
- Soroka has a record of 1-1-0 ATS in two starts with a spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Sunday, June 4, when he threw 3 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs while allowing seven hits against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
- Soroka’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Soroka’s team is 1-1 when he starts this season.
- In the two games with a total started by Soroka this season, the teams hit the over once.
Braves Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Minter | 39 | 37.2 | 47 | 5.26 | 8 | 10 |
| Nick Anderson | 30 | 32 | 35 | 3.38 | 13 | 1 |
| Kirby Yates | 28 | 31.1 | 44 | 2.87 | 5 | 1 |
| Joe Jiménez | 27 | 26.2 | 32 | 3.37 | 6 | 0 |
| Collin McHugh | 23 | 31.2 | 21 | 3.69 | 6 | 0 |
Marlins Probable Pitcher – Bryan Hoeing
- Hoeing (1-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 29 strikeouts in 35 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Marlins, his eighth of the season.
- In his most recent time out on Saturday, the righty tossed five scoreless innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates without surrendering a hit.
- Hoeing will try to collect his third outing of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 1.9 innings per appearance.
- He is looking to keep a streak of two games without surrendering an earned run intact.
- The Marlins have been the underdog on the moneyline in four of Hoeing’s starts this season, and they went 3-1 in those games.
- Hoeing’s team has a 5-2 record in his starts this season.
- Hoeing has started seven contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in four of them.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 36 | 35.1 | 46 | 2.55 | 7 | 2 |
| Tanner Scott | 34 | 39 | 56 | 3.23 | 14 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 32 | 30.2 | 32 | 4.40 | 9 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 30 | 39.2 | 42 | 3.40 | 10 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 26 | 27 | 38 | 2.00 | 9 | 0 |
Braves Hitting Trends
- The Braves are 31-10 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- Atlanta has gone 19-1 in its 20 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has strung together at least eight hits in 58 games this season, and is 42-16 in those contests.
- Atlanta has a 42-8 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Braves have drawn at least five walks in 23 games this season, and are 15-8 in those contests.
Marlins Hitting Trends
- They have won 10 of the 27 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Miami has gone 13-1 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 67 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 40-27.
- Miami has a 31-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 20 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 9-11
Braves vs. Marlins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Braves (-187)
Over/Under Pick: Over (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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