The Philadelphia Phillies (43-37) aim to extend their four-game win streak when they face the Washington Nationals (32-48) on Friday at 6:05 PM ET, at Citizens Bank Park.
The Phillies are favored (-182 moneyline odds to win) when they take the field at home against the Nationals (+153). The contest has an over/under of 9.5.
The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of June 30, 2023 at 3:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -182 | +153 | 9.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 49 games this season and won 30 (61.2%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia is 9-5 this season when entering a game favored by -182 or more on the moneyline.
- The Phillies have a 64.5% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Philadelphia’s games have gone over the total in 31 of its 80 chances.
- In 80 games with a spread this season, the Phillies are 36-44-0 ATS.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 2.30 |
| K/9 | 10.5 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been victorious in 30, or 39%, of the 77 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, Washington has been victorious 18 times in 37 chances when named as an underdog of at least +153 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 39.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Washington’s games have gone over the total in 38 of its 80 opportunities.
- In 80 games with a line this season, the Nationals have a mark of 45-35-0 against the spread.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.3 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 4.70 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Cristopher Sanchez
- Sanchez and his team have not covered in any of the three games with a spread he’s started this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw five innings against the New York Mets, giving up three earned runs while allowing five hits.
- Sanchez’s team is 2-0 this season when he starts and they’re favored on the moneyline.
- Sanchez’s team has won two of his three starts.
- The teams have not yet hit the over in any of the three games Sanchez has started this season.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 35 | 33 | 53 | 3.82 | 3 | 12 |
| Gregory Soto | 35 | 31.1 | 35 | 4.31 | 12 | 1 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 23 | 34 | 30 | 1.85 | 0 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 23 | 23.1 | 37 | 2.31 | 5 | 6 |
| Yunior Marte | 21 | 19.2 | 22 | 5.95 | 2 | 1 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray
- Gray (5-6) takes the mound first for the Nationals in his 17th start of the season. He has a 3.43 ERA in 89 1/3 innings pitched, with 78 strikeouts.
- The righty’s most recent time out came on Sunday against the San Diego Padres, when he went 5 1/3 scoreless innings while allowing four hits.
- Gray is seeking his sixth straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 frames per start.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 16 appearances this season.
- The Nationals have been the underdog on the moneyline in 15 of Gray’s starts this season, and they went 6-9 in those games.
- Gray’s team is 7-9 over his 16 starts.
- Gray’s starts went over the run total seven times in 16 games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Harvey | 34 | 35 | 39 | 3.34 | 11 | 6 |
| Mason Thompson | 31 | 38.2 | 34 | 3.26 | 6 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 30 | 32 | 33 | 3.66 | 5 | 11 |
| Thad Ward | 20 | 29.2 | 26 | 6.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 14 | 17 | 12 | 8.47 | 1 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have a 16-6 record in games this season when they hit at least two home runs.
- Philadelphia has collected five or more extra-base hits in 19 games this season, and has gone 14-5 in those outings.
- The team has collected eight or more hits in 53 games this season, and is 33-20 in those contests.
- Philadelphia is 31-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn five or more walks in 24 games this season, and are 18-6 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They are 9-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Washington has won nine of its 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 28 of the 55 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 30 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 20-10.
- They have a 8-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Phillies (-182)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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