The St. Louis Cardinals (33-47) are looking for Jordan Walker to extend a 17-game hitting streak against the New York Yankees (45-36), on Friday at 8:15 PM ET, at Busch Stadium.
The Cardinals are an underdog (+105 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Yankees (-124). The matchup has an over/under of 8.5 total runs.
The insights in what follows reflect odds as of June 30, 2023 at 7:14 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Yankees vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yankees | -124 | +105 | 8.5 |
Yankees Betting Insights
- This season, the Yankees have won 33 out of the 55 games, or 60%, in which they’ve been favored.
- New York is 28-13 this season when entering a game favored by -124 or more on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 55.4% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of its 81 games with a total this season.
- In 81 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 44-37-0 ATS.
Yankees Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 2.53 |
| K/9 | 8.6 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have been victorious in 14, or 42.4%, of the 33 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This season, St. Louis has come away with a win 10 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +105 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Cardinals have a 48.8% chance of pulling out a win.
- St. Louis’ games have gone over the total in 40 of its 80 opportunities.
- In 80 games with a line this season, the Cardinals have a mark of 34-46-0 against the spread.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.56 |
| K/9 | 6.9 |
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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Luis Severino
- Severino and his team are 3-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Saturday, when he tossed six innings without allowing a run on five hits in a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
- Severino has two starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished one appearance without allowing an earned run in seven chances this season.
- Severino’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-2).
- Severino’s team has a 4-4 record in his starts this season.
- Games Severino has started this season hit the over three times in eight chances.
Yankees Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wandy Peralta | 35 | 31.1 | 25 | 2.59 | 9 | 4 |
| Clay Holmes | 32 | 32.1 | 40 | 1.95 | 5 | 9 |
| Ron Marinaccio | 31 | 35.1 | 43 | 3.06 | 6 | 2 |
| Jimmy Cordero | 28 | 30.2 | 32 | 3.23 | 8 | 0 |
| Albert Abreu | 27 | 36 | 40 | 3.00 | 3 | 0 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Matthew Liberatore
- Liberatore (1-2) gets the starting nod for the Cardinals in his seventh start of the season. He has a 5.60 ERA in 27 1/3 innings pitched, with 21 strikeouts.
- The left-hander last appeared on Sunday against the Chicago Cubs, when he tossed 2 1/3 innings, allowing no earned runs while giving up four hits.
- Liberatore enters the matchup with three outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- He has made two appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Cardinals are 2-3 in Liberatore’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Liberatore’s team is 3-3 in his six starts.
- Liberatore’s starts went over the run total two times in six games with a set total this season.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew VerHagen | 33 | 36.2 | 38 | 4.17 | 7 | 0 |
| Jordan Hicks | 31 | 33.1 | 52 | 4.05 | 6 | 5 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 29 | 31.2 | 29 | 4.83 | 9 | 8 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 27 | 29.1 | 35 | 4.91 | 5 | 0 |
| Chris Stratton | 27 | 38.2 | 41 | 4.19 | 2 | 0 |
Yankees Hitting Trends
- The Yankees are 36-11 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
- New York has gone 10-2 in its 12 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits 52 times this season, and has a 37-15 record in those games.
- New York is 33-11 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Yankees are 14-6 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 40 games this season and are 27-13 in those matchups.
- St. Louis has won 22 of its 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 55 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 35-20.
- St. Louis has a 31-8 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 9-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Yankees vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-124)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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