The Chicago Cubs (37-42) take a four-game losing run into a home matchup versus the Cleveland Guardians (39-41), at 2:20 PM ET on Friday.
The Cubs are a home favorite (-201) against the Guardians (+168). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting trends in this article reflect odds as of June 30, 2023 at 1:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Cubs vs Guardians Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs | -201 | +168 | 8.5 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- This season, the Cubs have won 22 out of the 39 games, or 56.4%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Chicago has not entered a game this season as bigger favorites on the moneyline than the -201 odds on them winning this game.
- The Cubs have a 66.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- So far this season, Chicago and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of 79 games with a total.
- The Cubs are 40-39-0 ATS in their 79 games with a spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.8 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.03 |
| K/9 | 7.3 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have won in 15, or 44.1%, of the 34 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Cleveland has yet to play a game this season with longer moneyline odds than +168.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 37.3% chance of pulling out a win.
- Cleveland and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 33 of its 80 opportunities.
- The Guardians are 39-41-0 against the spread in their 80 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 2.74 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Cubs Probable Pitcher – Justin Steele
- Steele and his team are 8-6-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The left-hander last pitched on Saturday, when he gave up one earned run and allowed five hits in six innings against the St. Louis Cardinals.
- Steele will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- He has four appearances with no earned runs allowed in 14 chances this season.
- When Steele starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-2.
- Steele’s team has an 8-6 record in his starts this season.
- Out of Steele’s 14 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Merryweather | 33 | 34.1 | 47 | 2.88 | 3 | 0 |
| Michael Fulmer | 33 | 34.1 | 39 | 4.98 | 6 | 1 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 31 | 33.2 | 48 | 2.41 | 13 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 26 | 34 | 36 | 1.85 | 7 | 4 |
| Michael Rucker | 24 | 30.1 | 33 | 4.15 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians Probable Pitcher – Cal Quantrill
- The Guardians are sending Quantrill (2-4) out for his 12th start of the season. He is 2-4 with a 5.61 ERA and 34 strikeouts through 59 1/3 innings pitched.
- In his last appearance on Tuesday, May 30, the right-hander tossed 4 1/3 innings against the Baltimore Orioles, giving up eight earned runs while surrendering eight hits.
- Quantrill is trying to pick up his eighth start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
- He has had two appearances this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Guardians have a 4-2 record in Quantrill’s six starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Quantrill’s team is 6-5 in his 11 starts.
- Quantrill has had 11 starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and four of those matchups hit the over.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 38 | 38.2 | 36 | 2.56 | 0 | 24 |
| Trevor Stephan | 36 | 35 | 39 | 2.57 | 11 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 33 | 33 | 29 | 2.73 | 6 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 30 | 33.1 | 32 | 1.89 | 5 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 26 | 28.2 | 27 | 3.14 | 2 | 0 |
Cubs Hitting Trends
- The Cubs have a 16-13 record this season in games when they smash two or more homers.
- Chicago is 13-2 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The team is 36-15 in the games this season it has notched eight or more hits.
- Chicago is 28-8 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Cubs have gone 16-14 in the 30 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Guardians Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 12 games this season and are 10-2 in those matchups.
- In 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 11-5.
- In 48 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 26-22.
- In 26 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 21-5.
- They have a 13-9 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Cubs vs. Guardians Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (-201)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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