The Texas Rangers (49-32) and Houston Astros (44-37) clash in AL West play, on Friday at 8:05 PM ET.
The Rangers are a home favorite (-128) against the Astros (+107). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.
The insights in the following article are based off odds valid as of June 30, 2023 at 7:13 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Rangers vs Astros Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rangers | -128 | +107 | 8.5 |
Rangers Betting Insights
- The Rangers have entered the game as favorites 51 times this season and won 32, or 62.7%, of those games.
- Texas has entered 44 games this season favored by -128 or more and is 28-16 in those contests.
- The implied probability of a win from the Rangers, based on the moneyline, is 56.1%.
- Texas’ games have gone over the total in 44 of its 81 chances.
- The Rangers are 50-31-0 ATS in their 81 games with a spread this season.
Rangers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 3.99 |
| K/9 | 7.8 |
Astros Betting Insights
- The Astros have won in 14, or 58.3%, of the 24 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- This year, Houston has won six of 14 games when listed as at least +107 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Astros have an implied victory probability of 48.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Houston and its opponents have gone over in 41 of its 81 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Astros are 41-40-0 against the spread in their 81 games that had a posted line this season.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.3 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 5.50 |
| K/9 | 9.4 |
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Rangers Probable Pitcher – Jon Gray
- Gray and his team have a record of 8-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw five innings against the New York Yankees, giving up one earned run while allowing three hits.
- Gray has started 14 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings 12 times. He averages 5.8 innings per appearance.
- He has made 14 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- Gray’s team has been victorious in 37.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-5.
- Gray’s team has won eight of his 14 starts this season.
- In games Gray has started this season, the teams are 7-7-0 at hitting the over.
Rangers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Smith | 28 | 29.2 | 33 | 2.73 | 4 | 14 |
| Josh Sborz | 23 | 33.1 | 45 | 2.70 | 9 | 0 |
| Brock Burke | 23 | 30 | 24 | 3.30 | 8 | 0 |
| Joe Barlow | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3.00 | 0 | 0 |
| Grant Anderson | 12 | 17.2 | 18 | 3.06 | 2 | 0 |
Astros Probable Pitcher – Ronel Blanco
- Blanco gets the start for the Astros, his fifth of the season. He is 1-0 with a 4.63 ERA and 37 strikeouts in 35 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his last time out on Saturday, the right-hander went six innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up three earned runs while surrendering two hits.
- Blanco is trying for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 2.7 frames per start.
- In six of his 13 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Astros were the moneyline underdog for two Blanco starts this season — they lost both.
- Blanco’s team is 1-3 over his four starts.
- Blanco has had four starts that oddsmakers set a total for this season, and two of those outings hit the over.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 35 | 37 | 57 | 2.68 | 12 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 35 | 39.2 | 45 | 1.82 | 5 | 0 |
| Rafael Montero | 33 | 33.1 | 37 | 7.29 | 5 | 1 |
| Héctor Neris | 32 | 31.2 | 35 | 1.14 | 15 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 32 | 34.1 | 37 | 2.88 | 0 | 15 |
Rangers Hitting Trends
- The Rangers are 30-9 this season in games when they hit two or more long balls.
- Texas is 20-10 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 50-20 in the games this season it has strung together eight or more hits.
- Texas is 45-14 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Rangers are 20-12 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Astros Hitting Trends
- They are 18-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Houston has won 13 of its 18 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 44-12 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Houston has won 41 of its 48 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 19-6 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Rangers vs. Astros Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rangers (-128)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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