The Baltimore Orioles (48-31) host the Minnesota Twins (40-42) to open a three-game series at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with first pitch at 7:05 PM ET on Friday. The Orioles are on the back of a series defeat to the Reds, and the Twins a series loss to the Braves.
The Twins are an away underdog (+102) at the Orioles (-121). The over/under for the game is set at 8.5 total runs.
The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of June 30, 2023 at 3:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Twins Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -121 | +102 | 8.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have won 28, or 73.7%, of the 38 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Baltimore has a record of 26-8 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -121 on the moneyline.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 54.8% chance of a victory for the Orioles.
- Games involving Baltimore has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 40 of 79 chances this season.
- The Orioles are 48-31-0 ATS in their 79 games with a spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 4.80 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Twins Betting Insights
- The Twins have come away with nine wins in the 31 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Minnesota has won nine of 22 games when listed as at least +102 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 49.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Minnesota and its opponents have gone over in 34 of its 82 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Twins are 38-44-0 against the spread in their 82 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Twins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.3 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.30 |
| K/9 | 10 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Dean Kremer
- Kremer’s team is 11-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander gave up three earned runs in seven innings pitched on Saturday in his last outing, a matchup with the Seattle Mariners.
- Kremer will look to finish five or more innings for the 14th start in a row.
- He has made 16 appearances and finished two of them without allowing an earned run.
- Kremer’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-2.
- Kremer’s team has won 11 of his 16 starts this season.
- Out of Kremer’s 16 starts with a total this season, 10 have hit the over.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 36 | 40.1 | 43 | 4.02 | 5 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | 35 | 32.1 | 42 | 4.18 | 10 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 34 | 37.2 | 76 | 1.19 | 0 | 21 |
| Danny Coulombe | 33 | 27.2 | 37 | 2.28 | 16 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 32 | 39.1 | 35 | 1.14 | 18 | 4 |
Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez
- Lopez (3-5 with a 4.41 ERA and 120 strikeouts in 96 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Twins, his 17th of the season.
- His last time out was on Saturday against the Detroit Tigers, when the righty threw six innings, surrendering three earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Lopez will try to pitch five or more innings for his eighth straight start. He’s averaging six frames per outing.
- He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Twins were named the moneyline underdog for four Lopez starts this season — they lost each time.
- Lopez’s team has an 8-8 record in his 16 starts.
- Lopez’s starts went over the run total eight times in 16 games with a set total this season.
Twins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Griffin Jax | 35 | 34 | 34 | 2.91 | 10 | 1 |
| Jovani Moran | 29 | 32.2 | 38 | 4.41 | 7 | 0 |
| Jhoan Duran | 28 | 31 | 42 | 1.45 | 1 | 11 |
| Emilio Pagán | 27 | 33.1 | 30 | 4.05 | 0 | 0 |
| Brent Headrick | 7 | 14 | 16 | 5.14 | 0 | 1 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles have racked up at least two dingers in 33 games this season, and are 23-10 in those contests.
- Baltimore is 19-2 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
- The club is 35-16 in the games this season it has collected eight or more hits.
- Baltimore is 36-9 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Orioles have drawn five or more walks in 23 games this season, and are 18-5 in those contests.
Twins Hitting Trends
- They are 32-8 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- In 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 23-1.
- They have a record of 38-11 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Minnesota has won 39 of its 43 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 16-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Orioles vs. Twins Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-121)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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