Yankees vs. Athletics Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 29, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 29, 2023

The New York Yankees (44-36) and Oakland Athletics (21-61) play a rubber match on Thursday at 3:37 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.

The Yankees are a favorite (-191) at the Athletics (+159). The contest has an over/under of 8.

The insights in this article use the latest odds as of June 29, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Yankees vs Athletics Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Yankees -191 +159 8

Yankees Betting Insights

  • The Yankees have won 32, or 59.3%, of the 54 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • New York is undefeated in three games this season when favored by -191 or more on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline for this contest implies a 65.6% chance of a victory for the Yankees.
  • Games involving New York has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 33 of 80 chances this season.
  • In 80 games with a spread this season, the Yankees are 43-37-0 ATS.

Yankees Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 5-5
Runs Per Game 3.2
HR 9
ERA 2.76
K/9 8.6

Athletics Betting Insights

  • The Athletics have won in 21, or 25.9%, of the 81 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This year, Oakland has won 13 of 54 games when listed as at least +159 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The Athletics have an implied victory probability of 38.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Contests with Oakland has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 41 of 82 chances this season.
  • The Athletics are 37-45-0 against the spread in their 82 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

Athletics Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 2.4
HR 9
ERA 5.06
K/9 9.5

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Yankees Probable Pitcher – Clarke Schmidt

  • Schmidt’s team is 6-10-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The right-hander gave up no earned runs in 5 1/3 innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Texas Rangers.
  • Schmidt has started 16 games this season, and he’s lasted five or more innings nine times. He averages 4.8 innings per appearance.
  • He has made 16 appearances and finished four of them without allowing an earned run.
  • Schmidt’s team is 3-8 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Schmidt’s team has a 4-12 record in his starts this season.
  • In Schmidt’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over four times.

Yankees Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Wandy Peralta 35 31.1 25 2.59 9 4
Clay Holmes 32 32.1 40 1.95 5 9
Ron Marinaccio 30 34.2 42 3.12 6 2
Jimmy Cordero 28 30.2 32 3.23 8 0
Albert Abreu 26 35 38 3.09 3 0

Athletics Probable Pitcher – Hogan Harris

  • Harris (2-1) takes the mound first for the Athletics to make his third start this season.
  • The left-hander last appeared in relief on Saturday, when he tossed 4 2/3 innings against the Toronto Blue Jays, allowing four earned runs while giving up five hits.
  • Harris is trying to secure his sixth start of five or more innings this year in this game.
  • In one of his seven total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
  • The Athletics were the underdog on the moneyline for two Harris starts this season — they split the games.
  • His team split the two matchups he’s appeared in this season.
  • Harris’ two starts with a total this season finished 1-1-0 against the total.

Athletics Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Sam Moll 31 29.1 35 3.99 5 1
Trevor May 22 19.1 15 5.59 1 4
Sam Long 22 30.2 22 3.82 2 2
Shintaro Fujinami 18 40.1 41 10.04 2 0
Lucas Erceg 16 20 25 2.25 3 0

Yankees Hitting Trends

  • The Yankees are 35-11 this season in games when they crush at least two long balls.
  • New York is 10-2 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has racked up eight or more hits 51 times this season, and has a 36-15 record in those games.
  • New York has a 32-11 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Yankees have gone 14-6 in the 20 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Athletics Hitting Trends

  • They are 14-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Oakland has gone 10-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have a record of 15-20 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Oakland has won 18 of its 28 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-9

Yankees vs. Athletics Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Yankees (-191)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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