The Arizona Diamondbacks (48-33) host the Tampa Bay Rays (55-28) at 3:40 PM ET on Thursday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The favored Diamondbacks (-127 moneyline odds) play at home against the Rays (+107). The game’s over/under is set at 10.
The betting facts in this article use the latest odds as of June 29, 2023 at 3:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Diamondbacks vs Rays Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Diamondbacks | -127 | +107 | 10 |
Diamondbacks Betting Insights
- The Diamondbacks have won 26, or 68.4%, of the 38 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- Arizona has entered 30 games this season favored by -127 or more and is 22-8 in those contests.
- The Diamondbacks have a 55.9% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of its 81 games with a total this season.
- The Diamondbacks have an ATS record of 50-31-0 in 81 games with a spread this season.
Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.3 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.66 |
| K/9 | 7.4 |
Rays Betting Insights
- The Rays have come away with five wins in the 12 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Tampa Bay has won one of five games when listed as at least +107 or worse on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rays have a 48.3% chance of pulling out a win.
- Tampa Bay and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 46 of its 83 opportunities.
- The Rays have posted a record of 48-35-0 against the spread this season.
Rays Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.7 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.45 |
| K/9 | 10.4 |
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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Brandon Pfaadt
- When Pfaadt starts, his team is 3-2-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander last pitched on Saturday, May 27, when he threw 3 2/3 innings against the Boston Red Sox, giving up five earned runs.
- In five starts, Pfaadt has pitched through or past the fifth inning three times. He has a season average of 4.6 frames per outing.
- He has allowed at least one earned run in every appearance this season.
- Pfaadt’s team lost his only start as a favorite this season.
- Pfaadt’s team has won three of his five starts.
- Games Pfaadt has started this season hit the over two times in five chances.
Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott McGough | 35 | 42 | 50 | 3 | 12 | 6 |
| Miguel Castro | 33 | 32.1 | 25 | 3.34 | 9 | 7 |
| Kyle Nelson | 31 | 28.2 | 36 | 2.83 | 6 | 0 |
| Andrew Chafin | 31 | 27 | 41 | 3 | 10 | 8 |
| José Ruiz | 29 | 35.2 | 32 | 5.55 | 1 | 0 |
Rays Probable Pitcher – Zack Littell
- Littell will take the mound to start for the Rays, his first of the season.
- The 27-year-old right-hander came out of the bullpen in his last outing this season, one of 10 appearances so far.
- Littell never pitched as a moneyline underdog a season ago.
Rays Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Adam | 33 | 33.1 | 42 | 2.97 | 8 | 10 |
| Jake Diekman | 32 | 27.1 | 34 | 4.61 | 7 | 0 |
| Colin Poche | 32 | 29.2 | 22 | 2.12 | 12 | 1 |
| Kevin Kelly | 30 | 35.2 | 29 | 3.03 | 8 | 2 |
| Robert Stephenson | 28 | 23.2 | 30 | 4.18 | 8 | 0 |
Diamondbacks Hitting Trends
- The Diamondbacks are 24-7 this season in games when they send out at least two bombs.
- Arizona has gone 17-5 in its 22 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up at least eight hits in 65 games this season, and is 47-18 in those contests.
- Arizona has a 47-10 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Diamondbacks have gone 15-15 over the 30 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Rays Hitting Trends
- They have won 31 of the 40 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Tampa Bay has won 23 of its 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 41 of the 64 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- In 57 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 41-16.
- They have a 18-4 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Diamondbacks vs. Rays Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Rays (+107)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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