The Kansas City Royals (22-58) will attempt to snap a four-game losing streak when hosting the Cleveland Guardians (39-40) at 2:10 PM ET on Thursday.
The Royals (+125 underdog moneyline odds to win) play at home against the Guardians (-149). The game’s over/under is set at 9.
The betting facts in the article below are based off odds valid as of June 29, 2023 at 1:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Guardians vs Royals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guardians | -149 | +125 | 9 |
Guardians Betting Insights
- The Guardians have entered the game as favorites 44 times this season and won 24, or 54.5%, of those games.
- Cleveland has a record of 10-6, a 62.5% win rate, when favored by -149 or more by bookmakers this season.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 59.8% chance of a victory for the Guardians.
- Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of its 79 games with a total this season.
- The Guardians are 39-40-0 against the spread in their 79 chances this season.
Guardians Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.6 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.07 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Royals Betting Insights
- The Royals have been underdogs in 67 games this season and have come away with the win 19 times (28.4%) in those contests.
- This year, Kansas City has won 13 of 49 games when listed as at least +125 or worse on the moneyline.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Royals have a 44.4% chance of pulling out a win.
- Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 36 of its 80 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Royals are 31-49-0 against the spread in their 80 games that had a posted line this season.
Royals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.2 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 5.76 |
| K/9 | 6.6 |
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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Shane Bieber
- Bieber and his team are 7-9-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up four earned runs in five innings pitched on Friday in his last outing, a matchup with the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Bieber has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 16 appearances this season, he has finished three without allowing an earned run.
- Bieber’s team is 6-6 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- Bieber’s team has won six of his 16 starts.
- In Bieber’s 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over six times.
Guardians Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Clase | 37 | 38.1 | 35 | 2.35 | 0 | 24 |
| Trevor Stephan | 35 | 34 | 39 | 2.12 | 11 | 2 |
| Enyel De Los Santos | 32 | 32 | 28 | 2.81 | 5 | 0 |
| Eli Morgan | 30 | 33.1 | 32 | 1.89 | 5 | 1 |
| Nick Sandlin | 26 | 28.2 | 27 | 3.14 | 2 | 0 |
Royals Probable Pitcher – Zack Greinke
- Greinke (1-8 with a 5.31 ERA and 61 strikeouts in 81 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Royals, his 17th of the season.
- In his last time out on Friday, the right-hander went 4 2/3 innings against the Tampa Bay Rays, allowing seven earned runs while surrendering nine hits.
- Greinke enters this game with 13 outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- He has had two appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Royals are 3-11 in Greinke’s 14 starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Over Greinke’s 16 starts, his team is 3-13.
- Greinke has had 16 starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and six of those matchups finished over the total.
Royals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Cuas | 32 | 32.2 | 42 | 4.68 | 2 | 0 |
| Taylor Clarke | 29 | 33.2 | 38 | 4.81 | 8 | 0 |
| Aroldis Chapman | 28 | 28.1 | 51 | 2.54 | 8 | 2 |
| Scott Barlow | 26 | 28.2 | 40 | 4.40 | 0 | 9 |
| Carlos Hernandez | 26 | 38.2 | 48 | 4.42 | 3 | 0 |
Guardians Hitting Trends
- The Guardians have a 10-2 record in games this season when they smash two or more home runs.
- Cleveland is 11-5 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 26-21 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
- Cleveland has a 21-5 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Guardians have drawn at least five walks in 22 games this season, and are 13-9 in those contests.
Royals Hitting Trends
- They have won six of the 18 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Kansas City has gone 8-11 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- In 47 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 17-30.
- In 24 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 14-10.
- They have won two of their 12 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Guardians vs. Royals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-149)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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