The Houston Astros (43-37) visit the St. Louis Cardinals (33-46) at 7:15 PM ET on Thursday, with both teams hoping to win the series.
The Astros are a favorite (-124) at the Cardinals (+104). The matchup has an over/under of 10 total runs.
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of June 29, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Astros vs Cardinals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Astros | -124 | +104 | 10 |
Astros Betting Insights
- This season, the Astros have been favored 56 times and won 29, or 51.8%, of those games.
- Houston has a record of 26-20, a 56.5% win rate, when favored by -124 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- The implied probability of a win from the Astros, based on the moneyline, is 55.4%.
- Houston and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of its 80 games with a total this season.
- In 80 games with a spread this season, the Astros are 40-40-0 ATS.
Astros Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.2 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 6.40 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Cardinals Betting Insights
- The Cardinals have come away with 14 wins in the 32 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, St. Louis has come away with a win 10 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +104 or longer on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cardinals have a 49% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with St. Louis has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 39 of 79 chances this season.
- The Cardinals are 34-45-0 against the spread in their 79 games that had a posted line this season.
Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 4.81 |
| K/9 | 6.4 |
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Astros Probable Pitcher – J.P. France
- France and his team have a record of 3-6-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw six innings against the Los Angeles Dodgers, giving up three earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- France has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
- In nine appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
- France’s team is 2-5 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
- France’s team has a 3-6 record in his starts this season.
- Games France has started this season hit the over four times in nine chances.
Astros Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryan Abreu | 35 | 37 | 57 | 2.68 | 12 | 2 |
| Phil Maton | 35 | 39.2 | 45 | 1.82 | 5 | 0 |
| Héctor Neris | 32 | 31.2 | 35 | 1.14 | 15 | 2 |
| Ryan Pressly | 32 | 34.1 | 37 | 2.88 | 0 | 15 |
| Rafael Montero | 32 | 31.1 | 36 | 7.76 | 5 | 1 |
Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Adam Wainwright
- Wainwright makes the start for the Cardinals, his 10th of the season. He is 3-2 with a 6.56 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 46 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was on Saturday against the Chicago Cubs, when the righty tossed three innings, surrendering seven earned runs while giving up 11 hits.
- Wainwright has pitched five or more innings in a game eight times this season entering this game.
- So far during the 2023 campaign he has surrendered one or more earned runs in all of his appearances.
- The Cardinals are 3-2 in Wainwright’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Wainwright’s team is 4-5 over his nine starts.
- Wainwright has had nine starts with a total this season, and the teams combined to go over the total in four of those matchups.
Cardinals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew VerHagen | 33 | 36.2 | 38 | 4.17 | 7 | 0 |
| Jordan Hicks | 31 | 33.1 | 52 | 4.05 | 6 | 5 |
| Giovanny Gallegos | 29 | 31.2 | 29 | 4.83 | 9 | 8 |
| Chris Stratton | 27 | 38.2 | 41 | 4.19 | 2 | 0 |
| Génesis Cabrera | 26 | 28.2 | 34 | 5.02 | 5 | 0 |
Astros Hitting Trends
- The Astros have racked up two or more long balls in 24 games this season, and are 17-7 in those outings.
- Houston is 12-5 in games this season when it has had five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has totaled eight or more hits in 55 games this season, and is 43-12 in those contests.
- Houston is 40-7 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Astros have drawn five or more walks in 24 games this season, and are 18-6 in those contests.
Cardinals Hitting Trends
- They have won 27 of the 40 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- In 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 22-3.
- They have won 35 of the 55 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- St. Louis has a 31-8 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 9-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Astros vs. Cardinals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (+104)
Over/Under Pick: Over (10)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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