The New York Mets (36-44) host the Milwaukee Brewers (42-38) at 7:10 PM ET on Thursday.
The Mets are favored (-191 moneyline odds to win) when they square off against the Brewers (+159). The contest has a set total of 8.5.
The betting facts in the following article are based off odds valid as of June 29, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -191 | +159 | 8.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have been favored 55 times and won 28, or 50.9%, of those games.
- This season New York has won six of its 14 games, or 42.9%, when favored by at least -191 on the moneyline.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Mets have a 65.6% chance to win.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 36 of 81 opportunities.
- The Mets are 31-50-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 14 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 9.0 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have won in 20, or 51.3%, of the 39 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
- Milwaukee has been listed as an underdog of +159 or more on two occasions this season and lost both games.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 38.6% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of its 80 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Brewers are 36-44-0 against the spread in their 80 games that had a posted line this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 5 |
| ERA | 3.74 |
| K/9 | 6.9 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Max Scherzer
- Scherzer’s team is 8-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Saturday, when he threw six innings against the Philadelphia Phillies, giving up two earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Scherzer has pitched five or more innings in two straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 13 chances this season.
- When Scherzer starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-3.
- In games Scherzer has started, his team is 9-4.
- Games started by Scherzer have an 8-5-0 record at hitting the over this season.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 35 | 32.2 | 35 | 4.13 | 8 | 5 |
| Brooks Raley | 33 | 28 | 29 | 2.57 | 14 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 30 | 34 | 41 | 1.59 | 6 | 11 |
| Jeff Brigham | 29 | 28 | 31 | 4.50 | 5 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 28 | 25.2 | 31 | 4.56 | 8 | 2 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Adrian Houser
- Houser makes the start for the Brewers, his eighth of the season. He is 2-2 with a 4.02 ERA and 25 strikeouts in 40 1/3 innings pitched.
- The righty last appeared in relief on Friday, when he tossed one scoreless inning against the Cleveland Guardians while giving up two hits.
- Houser is looking to secure his fourth start of five or more innings this year in this game.
- In three of his nine total appearances this season he has not allowed an earned run.
- The Brewers are 3-2 in Houser’s five starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- In Houser’s seven starts, his team is 4-3.
- Houser has started seven contests with a total set by oddsmakers this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in one of them.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 36 | 31.1 | 27 | 2.59 | 7 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 32 | 36.1 | 40 | 2.23 | 13 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 27 | 27.2 | 37 | 1.63 | 0 | 15 |
| Bryse Wilson | 26 | 38.2 | 30 | 2.56 | 2 | 3 |
| Elvis Peguero | 26 | 29.1 | 26 | 2.76 | 7 | 1 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have put up at least two home runs in 25 games this season, and are 11-14 in those outings.
- New York has gone 7-4 in its 11 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The team has put up at least eight hits in 46 games this season, and is 29-17 in those contests.
- New York has a 28-15 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mets are 7-9 over the 16 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They are 31-6 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Milwaukee has collected five or more extra-base hits in six games this season and won each of them.
- They have a record of 30-9 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 44 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 40-4.
- They have won 21 of their 29 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Mets vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-191)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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