The Philadelphia Phillies (42-37) hope to sweep the Chicago Cubs (37-41) on Thursday at Wrigley Field, beginning at 8:05 PM ET.
The Cubs are an underdog (+101 on the moneyline) when they take on the Phillies (-120). The contest has a set total of 9.5.
The betting insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of June 29, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -120 | +101 | 9.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have entered the game as favorites 48 times this season and won 29, or 60.4%, of those games.
- Philadelphia has entered 38 games this season favored by -120 or more and is 25-13 in those contests.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 54.5% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- So far this season, Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 31 of 79 games with a total.
- The Phillies are 35-44-0 against the spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.30 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 38 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (36.8%) in those games.
- Chicago has a win-loss record of 13-20 when favored by +101 or worse by oddsmakers this year.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Cubs have a 49.8% chance of walking away with the win.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 37 of its 78 opportunities.
- The Cubs have an against the spread mark of 40-38-0 in 78 games with a line this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.7 |
| HR | 13 |
| ERA | 3.03 |
| K/9 | 7.5 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Taijuan Walker
- Walker’s team is 10-6-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in six innings pitched against the New York Mets on Friday.
- Walker has pitched five or more innings in four straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 16 chances this season.
- Walker’s team has been victorious in 80% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-2.
- Walker’s team has won 11 of his 16 starts.
- In games Walker has started this season, the teams are 6-9-1 at hitting the over.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 34 | 32 | 52 | 3.94 | 3 | 11 |
| Gregory Soto | 34 | 30.1 | 35 | 4.45 | 11 | 1 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 23 | 34 | 30 | 1.85 | 0 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 23 | 23.1 | 37 | 2.31 | 5 | 6 |
| Yunior Marte | 20 | 18.2 | 20 | 6.27 | 1 | 1 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Kyle Hendricks
- The Cubs will send Hendricks (3-2) out to make his seventh start of the season. He is 3-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 18 strikeouts in 34 2/3 innings pitched.
- In his most recent time out on Wednesday, June 21, the righty threw 6 1/3 innings against the Pittsburgh Pirates, giving up one earned run while surrendering two hits.
- Hendricks will try to prolong a six-game streak of pitching five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.7 frames per appearance).
- He has made one appearances this season in which he did not give up an earned run.
- The Cubs are 2-2 in Hendricks’ four starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Hendricks’ team has won four of his six starts.
- Hendricks has had six starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and three of those outings finished over the total.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 33 | 34.1 | 39 | 4.98 | 6 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 32 | 33.1 | 46 | 2.97 | 3 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 30 | 32.2 | 48 | 2.48 | 13 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 26 | 34 | 36 | 1.85 | 7 | 4 |
| Michael Rucker | 24 | 30.1 | 33 | 4.15 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 16-6 this season in games when they crush two or more bombs.
- Philadelphia has gone 14-5 in its 19 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has totaled eight or more hits 53 times this season, and has a 33-20 record in those games.
- Philadelphia is 31-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn at least five walks in 24 games this season, and are 18-6 in those contests.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They have won 16 of the 29 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Chicago has won 13 of its 15 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 36-15 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- Chicago has won 28 of its 36 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 16-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+101)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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