Dodgers vs. Rockies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 28, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 28, 2023

J.D. Martinez leads the Los Angeles Dodgers (44-34) into a contest against the Colorado Rockies (31-50) after homering twice in a 5-0 victory over the Rockies. It begins at 8:40 PM ET on Wednesday.

As the favorite, the Dodgers (-195 on the moneyline to win) play at the Rockies (+164). The contest has an over/under of 12.

The betting trends in the following article reference odds valid as of June 28, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Dodgers vs Rockies Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Dodgers -195 +164 12

Dodgers Betting Insights

  • This season, the Dodgers have won 38 out of the 65 games, or 58.5%, in which they’ve been favored.
  • Los Angeles has a record of 8-7 in games when bookmakers favor them by at least -195 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Dodgers, based on the moneyline, is 66.1%.
  • Games involving Los Angeles has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 42 of 78 chances this season.
  • The Dodgers are 40-38-0 against the spread this season.

Dodgers Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 3.8
HR 11
ERA 4.22
K/9 8.2

Rockies Betting Insights

  • The Rockies have been chosen as underdogs in 72 games this year and have walked away with the win 28 times (38.9%) in those games.
  • This season, Colorado has been victorious nine times in 34 chances when named as an underdog of at least +164 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Rockies have a 37.9% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Colorado and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of its 81 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • The Rockies have an against the spread record of 37-44-0 in 81 games with a line this season.

Rockies Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 2-8
Runs Per Game 3.4
HR 14
ERA 9.00
K/9 7.1

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Dodgers Probable Pitcher – Michael Grove

  • Grove’s team is 2-4-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander last pitched out of the bullpen on Saturday, when he threw two scoreless innings without allowing a hit to the Houston Astros.
  • In six starts, Grove has pitched through or past the fifth inning three times. He has a season average of 4.0 frames per outing.
  • He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his eight chances this season.
  • Grove’s team has been victorious in 75% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 3-1.
  • Grove’s team is 4-2 when he starts this season.
  • In Grove’s six starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.

Dodgers Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Yency Almonte 33 33.1 30 5.67 6 0
Brusdar Graterol 33 35 27 2.06 7 4
Evan Phillips 31 32 37 1.97 6 11
Caleb Ferguson 30 29 32 3.10 10 2
Phil Bickford 25 29.2 42 6.67 2 0

Rockies Probable Pitcher – Kyle Freeland

  • Freeland (4-8 with a 4.54 ERA and 53 strikeouts in 85 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Rockies, his 17th of the season.
  • The lefty last pitched on Saturday against the Los Angeles Angels, when he threw five innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up nine hits.
  • Freeland will try to pick up his 14th matchup of five or more innings pitched this season. He averages 5.3 innings per appearance.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in four of his 16 appearances this season.
  • The Rockies have a 5-9 record in Freeland’s 14 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Freeland’s team is 6-10 in his 16 starts.
  • Freeland’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in five of 16 games.

Rockies Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Justin Lawrence 34 41.2 41 3.02 7 4
Jake Bird 34 50.1 48 3.22 5 0
Pierce Johnson 33 31 47 6.39 1 12
Brad Hand 31 27.1 34 3.62 2 0
Daniel Bard 25 25.2 25 1.40 2 0

Dodgers Hitting Trends

  • The Dodgers have hit two or more homers in 44 games this season, and are 32-12 in those outings.
  • Los Angeles is 18-9 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club is 35-14 in the games this season it has strung together at least eight hits.
  • Los Angeles has a 37-12 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
  • The Dodgers have drawn at least five walks in 36 games this season, and are 25-11 in those contests.

Rockies Hitting Trends

  • They have won 10 of the 16 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
  • Colorado has gone 11-10 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • In 53 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 25-28.
  • In 32 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 24-8.
  • In 11 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-4

Dodgers vs. Rockies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Dodgers (-195)
Over/Under Pick: Under (12)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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