Luis Arraez leads the Miami Marlins (46-34) into a matchup with Alex Verdugo and the Boston Red Sox (40-40) at Fenway Park, on Wednesday at 7:10 PM ET. Arraez is at .399, the best average in the league, and Verdugo is eighth at .307.
The Red Sox (+115 underdog moneyline odds) host the Marlins (-136). The game’s over/under is 9.
The betting trends in this article reflect odds as of June 28, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Marlins vs Red Sox Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | -136 | +115 | 9 |
Marlins Betting Insights
- The Marlins have been favorites in 38 games this season and won 24 (63.2%) of those contests.
- Miami is 18-4 this season when entering a game favored by -136 or more on the moneyline.
- The Marlins have a 57.6% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- Miami and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 36 of 80 opportunities.
- The Marlins are 38-42-0 against the spread in their 80 chances this season.
Marlins Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 2.05 |
| K/9 | 10.0 |
Red Sox Betting Insights
- The Red Sox have been chosen as underdogs in 44 games this year and have walked away with the win 20 times (45.5%) in those games.
- This season, Boston has been victorious 13 times in 24 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Red Sox have a 46.5% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Boston has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 44 of 80 chances this season.
- The Red Sox have an against the spread record of 39-41-0 in 80 games with a line this season.
Red Sox Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 4.14 |
| K/9 | 8.9 |
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Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett
- Garrett’s team is 8-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The left-hander gave up one earned run and allowed three hits in seven innings pitched against the Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday.
- Garrett has nine starts in a row of five innings or more.
- He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 15 chances this season.
- When Garrett starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 5-1.
- In games Garrett has started, his team is 10-3.
- Out of Garrett’s 13 starts with a total this season, six have hit the over.
Marlins Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nardi | 34 | 34.1 | 44 | 2.62 | 6 | 2 |
| Tanner Scott | 32 | 37 | 53 | 3.41 | 13 | 2 |
| Dylan Floro | 31 | 30.1 | 32 | 4.15 | 9 | 7 |
| Huascar Brazoban | 29 | 38 | 40 | 3.55 | 9 | 0 |
| Steven Okert | 26 | 27 | 38 | 2.00 | 9 | 0 |
Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Kaleb Ort
- Ort (1-1) starts for the Red Sox, his second this season.
- In his most recent time out — out of the bullpen on Sunday — the right-hander threw scoreless two-thirds of an inning against the Chicago White Sox while surrendering one hit.
- He will attempt for his third straight outing without surrendering an earned run.
- The Red Sox were the moneyline underdog for one Ort start this season — they won.
- His team has won the only matchup he’s made an appearance in this season.
- Ort’s only start with a total this season went under.
Red Sox Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenley Jansen | 26 | 26.1 | 31 | 3.08 | 0 | 16 |
| Josh Winckowski | 26 | 44.1 | 31 | 2.84 | 9 | 2 |
| Chris Martin | 24 | 23.2 | 20 | 1.90 | 13 | 1 |
| Brennan Bernardino | 19 | 22.2 | 22 | 2.38 | 1 | 0 |
| Kaleb Ort | 16 | 18.2 | 21 | 5.79 | 1 | 0 |
Marlins Hitting Trends
- The Marlins have hit two or more home runs in 26 games this season, and are 9-17 in those outings.
- Miami has collected at least five extra-base hits in 14 games this season, and has gone 13-1 in those contests.
- The club has racked up at least eight hits in 67 games this season, and is 40-27 in those contests.
- Miami is 30-10 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Marlins are 8-11 in the 19 games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.
Red Sox Hitting Trends
- They are 16-9 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Boston has won 16 of its 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 57 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 32-25.
- Boston has won 33 of its 42 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 11 of their 21 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Marlins vs. Red Sox Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Red Sox (+115)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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