Guardians vs. Royals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 28, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 28, 2023

The Cleveland Guardians (38-40) visit the Kansas City Royals (22-57) at 8:10 PM ET on Wednesday.

As the favorite, the Guardians (-166 moneyline odds) play at the Royals (+140). The over/under for this game is set at 9.

The betting trends in this article reflect odds as of June 28, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Guardians vs Royals Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Guardians -166 +140 9

Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have been favorites in 43 games this season and won 23 (53.5%) of those contests.
  • This season Cleveland has won six of its 12 games, or 50%, when favored by at least -166 on the moneyline.
  • The Guardians have a 62.4% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
  • Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 32 of its 78 games with a total this season.
  • The Guardians are 38-40-0 against the spread in their 78 chances this season.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 6
ERA 3.50
K/9 7.9

Royals Betting Insights

  • The Royals have been victorious in 19, or 28.8%, of the 66 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Kansas City has come away with a win nine times in 36 chances when named as an underdog of at least +140 or worse on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Royals have a 41.7% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
  • Kansas City and its opponents have gone over in 35 of its 79 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Royals are 31-48-0 against the spread in their 79 games that had a posted line this season.

Royals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 4.1
HR 9
ERA 5.23
K/9 6.5

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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Logan Allen

  • Allen’s team is 8-3-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
  • The left-hander allowed two hits in four scoreless innings pitched against the Oakland Athletics on Thursday.
  • In 11 starts this season, Allen has lasted five or more innings eight times, with an average of 5.3 innings per appearance.
  • He has two appearances with no earned runs allowed in 11 chances this season.
  • Allen’s team is 3-2 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
  • Allen’s team is 8-3 when he starts this season.
  • Games Allen has started this season hit the over four times in 11 chances.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Emmanuel Clase 37 38.1 35 2.35 0 24
Trevor Stephan 35 34 39 2.12 11 2
Enyel De Los Santos 32 32 28 2.81 5 0
Eli Morgan 29 32.1 31 1.67 5 1
Nick Sandlin 25 27.1 25 3.29 2 0

Royals Probable Pitcher – Austin Cox

  • Cox will start for the Royals, his first this season.
  • The 26-year-old left-hander is making his MLB debut.
  • Cox and his team were underdogs on the moneyline in every game he pitched a season ago.

Royals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Jose Cuas 31 31.2 40 4.83 2 0
Taylor Clarke 29 33.2 38 4.81 8 0
Aroldis Chapman 28 28.1 51 2.54 8 2
Scott Barlow 26 28.2 40 4.40 0 9
Carlos Hernandez 26 38.2 48 4.42 3 0

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • The Guardians are 8-2 this season in games when they crush at least two homers.
  • Cleveland is 9-5 in games this season when it has put up at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team has strung together eight or more hits 45 times this season, and has a 24-21 record in those games.
  • Cleveland is 19-5 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Guardians are 11-9 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Royals Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 18 games this season and are 6-12 in those matchups.
  • In 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 8-11.
  • They have won 17 of the 47 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Kansas City has a 14-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 2-10 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Guardians vs. Royals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-166)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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