Braves vs. Twins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 28, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 28, 2023

The Atlanta Braves (52-27) take a four-game win streak into a home contest versus the Minnesota Twins (40-41) at 12:20 PM ET on Wednesday.

The Braves are favored at home (-166) against the Twins (+139). The game’s over/under is set at 10.

The betting facts in what follows use the latest odds as of June 28, 2023 at 11:18 AM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Braves vs Twins Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Braves -166 +139 10

Braves Betting Insights

  • The Braves have entered the game as favorites 68 times this season and won 45, or 66.2%, of those games.
  • Atlanta is 25-9 this season when entering a game favored by -166 or more on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Braves have a 62.4% chance to win.
  • Atlanta’s games have gone over the total in 44 of its 79 chances.
  • The Braves are 39-40-0 ATS in their 79 games with a spread this season.

Braves Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 9-1
Runs Per Game 7.5
HR 31
ERA 3.50
K/9 10.5

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have come away with nine wins in the 30 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Minnesota has been victorious three times in seven chances when named as an underdog of at least +139 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Twins have a 41.8% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have hit the over in 34 of its 81 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
  • In 81 games with a line this season, the Twins have a mark of 38-43-0 against the spread.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 4-6
Runs Per Game 3.7
HR 14
ERA 4.55
K/9 9.8

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Braves Probable Pitcher – Kolby Allard

  • Allard did not pitch in a game with a spread last season.
  • The last time the 25-year-old lefty pitched was on Wednesday, Oct. 5, throwing four innings out of the bullpen against the New York Yankees.
  • Allard did not pitch as the moneyline favorite last season.

Braves Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
A.J. Minter 38 36.2 47 5.40 7 10
Nick Anderson 30 32 35 3.38 13 1
Kirby Yates 27 30 41 3.00 5 1
Joe Jiménez 26 25.2 31 3.51 5 0
Collin McHugh 23 31.2 21 3.69 6 0

Twins Probable Pitcher – Kenta Maeda

  • Maeda gets the start for the Twins, his sixth of the season. He is 1-4 with a 6.86 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 21 2/3 innings pitched.
  • In his most recent appearance on Friday, the right-hander tossed five scoreless innings against the Detroit Tigers while surrendering three hits.
  • Maeda has pitched five or more innings in a game three times this year heading into this game.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his five outings this season.
  • The Twins were the underdog on the moneyline for four Maeda starts this season — they lost all of the games.
  • Maeda’s team has compiled a 1-4 record over his five starts.
  • Maeda’s starts went over the run total two times in five games with a set total this season.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Griffin Jax 35 34 34 2.91 10 1
Jhoan Duran 28 31 42 1.45 1 11
Jovani Moran 28 30.2 35 4.70 7 0
Emilio Pagán 27 33.1 30 4.05 0 0
Brent Headrick 7 14 16 5.14 0 1

Braves Hitting Trends

  • The Braves are 31-10 this season in games when they crush at least two home runs.
  • Atlanta is 19-1 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
  • The team has racked up at least eight hits in 58 games this season, and is 42-16 in those contests.
  • Atlanta has a 42-8 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Braves have drawn five or more walks in 23 games this season, and are 15-8 in those contests.

Twins Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 40 games this season and are 32-8 in those matchups.
  • Minnesota has won 23 of its 24 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have a record of 38-11 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
  • Minnesota has a 39-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
  • They have a 16-11 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Braves vs. Twins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Braves (-166)
Over/Under Pick: Under (10)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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