The New York Mets (36-43) face the Milwaukee Brewers (41-38) after Brandon Nimmo homered twice in a 7-2 victory over the Brewers. The game begins at 7:10 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Mets are the home favorite (-145) against the Brewers (+123). The total for this game is 8.5.
The betting insights in this article are based off odds valid as of June 28, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -145 | +123 | 8.5 |
Mets Betting Insights
- This season, the Mets have been favored 54 times and won 28, or 51.9%, of those games.
- New York has entered 32 games this season favored by -145 or more and is 14-18 in those contests.
- The Mets have a 59.2% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
- New York’s games have gone over the total in 36 of its 80 chances.
- The Mets have an ATS record of 31-49-0 in 80 games with a spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.0 |
| HR | 15 |
| ERA | 4.19 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have been victorious in 19, or 50%, of the 38 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Milwaukee has won eight of 20 games when listed as at least +123 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 44.8% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Contests with Milwaukee has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 33 of 79 chances this season.
- The Brewers are 35-44-0 against the spread in their 79 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 6-4 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.7 |
| HR | 7 |
| ERA | 3.54 |
| K/9 | 6.9 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Kodai Senga
- Senga and his team are 6-8-0 ATS this season when he starts.
- The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed five hits in 5 1/3 innings pitched against the Philadelphia Phillies on Friday.
- Senga has pitched five or more innings in three straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- He has finished three appearances without allowing an earned run in 14 chances this season.
- Senga’s team has been victorious in 66.7% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 8-4.
- Senga’s team has won eight of his 14 starts this season.
- Games Senga has started this season hit the over four times in 14 chances.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 34 | 32 | 34 | 3.66 | 8 | 5 |
| Brooks Raley | 32 | 27 | 28 | 2.67 | 14 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 30 | 34 | 41 | 1.59 | 6 | 11 |
| Jeff Brigham | 29 | 28 | 31 | 4.50 | 5 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 28 | 25.2 | 31 | 4.56 | 8 | 2 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Wade Miley
- Miley makes the start for the Brewers, his 11th of the season. He is 5-2 with a 2.91 ERA and 31 strikeouts over 52 2/3 innings pitched.
- The lefty’s last time out was on Friday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he tossed six scoreless innings while allowing three hits.
- Miley will look to continue a three-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.2 innings per appearance).
- He will attempt for his third straight outing without allowing an earned run.
- The Brewers are 5-2 in Miley’s seven starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Miley’s team has a 7-3 record in his starts this season.
- Miley has started 10 games with a total set by bookmakers this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in five of them.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 35 | 31 | 26 | 2.61 | 6 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 34 | 35.2 | 37 | 4.54 | 14 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 31 | 35.1 | 39 | 2.29 | 12 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 26 | 26.2 | 35 | 1.69 | 0 | 14 |
| Bryse Wilson | 25 | 37 | 29 | 2.68 | 2 | 3 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have an 11-14 record this season in games when they smash two or more home runs.
- New York has collected at least five extra-base hits in 11 games this season, and has gone 7-4 in those contests.
- The club has put up eight or more hits in 46 games this season, and is 29-17 in those contests.
- New York is 28-15 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mets are 7-9 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They have won 31 of the 37 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee has won each of its six games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- In 38 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 29-9.
- Milwaukee has won 39 of its 43 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- In 29 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 21-8
Mets vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-145)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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