The San Diego Padres (37-42) carry a three-game losing run into a road contest versus the Pittsburgh Pirates (36-42), at 7:05 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Pirates are an underdog (+142 on the moneyline) when they take on the Padres (-167). The total for this game is set at 8.5.
The betting insights in what follows reference odds valid as of June 28, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Padres vs Pirates Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Padres | -167 | +142 | 8.5 |
Padres Betting Insights
- This season, the Padres have won 29 out of the 57 games, or 50.9%, in which they’ve been favored.
- San Diego has a record of 13-12, a 52% win rate, when favored by -167 or more by oddsmakers this season.
- Sportsbooks have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Padres have a 62.5% chance to win.
- San Diego and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 29 of 79 opportunities.
- The Padres are 36-43-0 against the spread this season.
Padres Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 4-6 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 3.52 |
| K/9 | 8.4 |
Pirates Betting Insights
- The Pirates have been victorious in 24, or 40.7%, of the 59 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
- This year, Pittsburgh has won five of 13 games when listed as at least +142 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 41.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Pittsburgh and its opponents have gone over in 38 of its 78 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Pirates have posted a record of 36-42-0 against the spread this season.
Pirates Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 2-8 |
| Runs Per Game | 2.4 |
| HR | 6 |
| ERA | 4.14 |
| K/9 | 7.7 |
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Padres Probable Pitcher – Blake Snell
- Snell’s team is 6-9-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The left-hander did not allow a run in six innings pitched on Thursday in his last outing, a matchup with the San Francisco Giants.
- Snell has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- If he manages to end his start without allowing an earned run, he’d extend his streak of appearances with no earned runs to three.
- Snell’s team has won 50% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-5).
- Snell’s team has a 5-10 record in his starts this season.
- In games Snell has started this season, the teams are 6-9-0 at hitting the over.
Padres Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Hill | 33 | 33.2 | 22 | 2.94 | 9 | 0 |
| Josh Hader | 30 | 28.2 | 42 | 1.26 | 0 | 18 |
| Brent Honeywell Jr. | 27 | 39.1 | 36 | 3.20 | 3 | 0 |
| Luís Garcia | 26 | 23.2 | 24 | 5.32 | 8 | 0 |
| Nick Martínez | 24 | 58.1 | 47 | 3.24 | 9 | 1 |
Pirates Probable Pitcher – Mitch Keller
- The Pirates will send Keller (8-3) out for his 17th start of the season. He is 8-3 with a 3.45 ERA and 113 strikeouts in 99 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent appearance came on Thursday against the Miami Marlins, when he threw seven innings, surrendering one earned run while giving up five hits.
- Keller is aiming for his 16th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 6.2 frames per start.
- He has had two appearances this season in which he did not surrender an earned run.
- The Pirates have been the moneyline underdog in nine of Keller’s starts this season, and they went 6-3 in those games.
- Keller’s team has a 10-6 record in his 16 starts.
- Keller’s starts with a set total this season have hit the over in nine of 16 contests.
Pirates Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dauri Moreta | 32 | 33 | 44 | 3.82 | 4 | 1 |
| David Bednar | 29 | 30 | 34 | 1.50 | 0 | 15 |
| Duane Underwood Jr. | 19 | 24.1 | 14 | 5.18 | 3 | 2 |
| Chad Kuhl | 12 | 38.1 | 31 | 8.45 | 0 | 1 |
| Angel Perdomo | 10 | 10 | 15 | 3.60 | 1 | 0 |
Padres Hitting Trends
- The Padres are 16-15 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
- San Diego has put up at least five extra-base hits in 19 games this season, and has gone 13-6 in those contests.
- The team has put up at least eight hits in 42 games this season, and is 28-14 in those contests.
- San Diego has a 30-4 record in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
- The Padres are 20-14 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Pirates Hitting Trends
- They have won 17 of the 22 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Pittsburgh has won 15 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- In 34 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 25-9.
- Pittsburgh has a 22-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have won 12 of their 24 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Padres vs. Pirates Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Padres (-167)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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