The Baltimore Orioles (48-30) and Cincinnati Reds (42-38) play a rubber match on Wednesday at 7:05 PM ET, with the series deadlocked at 1-1.
The Reds are an underdog away (+142) at the Orioles (-169). The contest has a set total of 9.5.
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of June 28, 2023 at 7:18 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Orioles vs Reds Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Orioles | -169 | +142 | 9.5 |
Orioles Betting Insights
- The Orioles have won 28, or 75.7%, of the 37 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
- This season Baltimore has won 10 of its 11 games, or 90.9%, when favored by at least -169 on the moneyline.
- Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 62.8% chance to win.
- Baltimore’s games have gone over the total in 39 of its 78 chances.
- The Orioles are 48-30-0 ATS in their 78 games with a spread this season.
Orioles Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.2 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 5.01 |
| K/9 | 9.9 |
Reds Betting Insights
- The Reds have come away with 30 wins in the 61 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 10 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +142 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 41.3% chance of walking away with the win.
- Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 46 of its 80 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- The Reds are 49-31-0 against the spread in their 80 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Reds Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.6 |
| HR | 23 |
| ERA | 5.60 |
| K/9 | 8.1 |
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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Kyle Gibson
- Gibson’s team is 11-5-0 against the spread this season in his starts.
- The right-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed seven hits in three innings pitched against the Seattle Mariners on Friday.
- Gibson has made 14 starts of five or more innings in 16 chances this season, and averages 5.8 frames when he pitches.
- He has one appearance this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 16 chances this season.
- Gibson’s team has won 71.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-2).
- Gibson’s team has a 9-7 record in his starts this season.
- In games Gibson has started this season, the teams are 7-9-0 at hitting the over.
Orioles Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Baumann | 35 | 39.1 | 43 | 4.12 | 5 | 0 |
| Bryan Baker | 35 | 32.1 | 42 | 4.18 | 10 | 0 |
| Felix Bautista | 33 | 36.2 | 74 | 1.23 | 0 | 21 |
| Danny Coulombe | 32 | 26.2 | 35 | 2.36 | 16 | 0 |
| Yeinier Cano | 31 | 38 | 34 | 0.95 | 18 | 4 |
Reds Probable Pitcher – Luke Weaver
- Weaver (1-2) gets the starting nod for the Reds in his 13th start of the season. He has a 6.86 ERA in 60 1/3 innings pitched, with 53 strikeouts.
- The righty’s last time out was on Friday against the Atlanta Braves, when he threw 3 1/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing seven hits.
- Weaver heads into the game with seven outings of five or more innings pitched this campaign.
- He has had one outing this season that he held his opponents to zero earned runs.
- The Reds have a 7-5 record in Weaver’s 12 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
- Weaver’s team is 7-5 over his 12 starts.
- Weaver’s starts hit the over on the run total eight times in 12 games with a set total this season.
Reds Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buck Farmer | 35 | 38.2 | 33 | 2.56 | 7 | 2 |
| Ian Gibaut | 34 | 37.1 | 31 | 3.62 | 7 | 1 |
| Alex Young | 33 | 31.1 | 32 | 2.87 | 8 | 1 |
| Alexis Diaz | 33 | 34 | 57 | 1.85 | 1 | 22 |
| Lucas Sims | 28 | 29.2 | 38 | 3.34 | 12 | 0 |
Orioles Hitting Trends
- The Orioles are 23-10 this season in games when they hit two or more bombs.
- Baltimore has gone 19-2 in its 21 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team is 35-15 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
- Baltimore has a 36-8 record in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Orioles have drawn five or more walks in 22 games this season, and are 18-4 in those contests.
Reds Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 23 games this season and are 20-3 in those matchups.
- In 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 20-5.
- They have won 42 of the 60 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Cincinnati has won 45 of its 53 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won 13 of their 31 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Orioles vs. Reds Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-169)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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