Cardinals vs. Astros Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 28, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 28, 2023

Jordan Walker brings a 16-game hitting streak into the St. Louis Cardinals’ (33-45) game against the Houston Astros (42-37) at 7:45 PM ET on Wednesday, at Busch Stadium.

The Astros are an underdog (+106 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Cardinals (-125). The over/under in the game is 9 total runs.

The betting trends in the following article are based off odds valid as of June 28, 2023 at 7:19 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Cardinals vs Astros Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Cardinals -125 +106 9

Cardinals Betting Insights

  • The Cardinals have been favorites in 45 games this season and won 19 (42.2%) of those contests.
  • St. Louis has entered 36 games this season favored by -125 or more and is 14-22 in those contests.
  • The implied probability of a win from the Cardinals, based on the moneyline, is 55.6%.
  • Games involving St. Louis has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 38 of 78 chances this season.
  • The Cardinals are 34-44-0 against the spread this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.8
HR 14
ERA 4.45
K/9 7.0

Astros Betting Insights

  • The Astros have been chosen as underdogs in 23 games this year and have walked away with the win 13 times (56.5%) in those games.
  • This season, Houston has come away with a win six times in 14 chances when named as an underdog of at least +106 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Astros have an implied victory probability of 48.5% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Houston’s games have gone over the total in 39 of its 79 opportunities.
  • The Astros have an against the spread record of 39-40-0 in 79 games with a line this season.

Astros Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 3-7
Runs Per Game 4.3
HR 13
ERA 5.90
K/9 9.4

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Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Miles Mikolas

  • Mikolas’ team is 6-10-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander gave up two earned runs and allowed eight hits in seven innings pitched against the Washington Nationals on Wednesday, June 21.
  • Mikolas has pitched five or more innings in eight straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 16 chances this season.
  • When Mikolas starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 6-5.
  • Mikolas’ team has an 8-8 record in his starts this season.
  • In Mikolas’ 16 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over eight times.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Drew VerHagen 32 35.1 36 4.33 7 0
Jordan Hicks 31 33.1 52 4.05 6 5
Giovanny Gallegos 28 31 29 3.48 9 8
Chris Stratton 26 37.2 40 4.30 1 0
Génesis Cabrera 26 28.2 34 5.02 5 0

Astros Probable Pitcher – Cristian Javier

  • Javier gets the start for the Astros, his 16th of the season. He is 7-1 with a 3.25 ERA and 77 strikeouts in 83 2/3 innings pitched.
  • His most recent time out came on Wednesday, June 21 against the New York Mets, when the righty went 2 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • Javier is looking to secure his 15th start of five or more innings this season in this outing.
  • He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his 15 appearances this season.
  • The Astros have played when named the moneyline underdog for four of Javier’s starts this season, and they won every game.
  • Javier’s team has won 11 of his 15 starts.
  • Javier’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 11 of 15 games.

Astros Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Phil Maton 35 39.2 45 1.82 5 0
Bryan Abreu 34 36 55 2.75 11 2
Héctor Neris 32 31.2 35 1.14 15 2
Rafael Montero 32 31.1 36 7.76 5 1
Ryan Pressly 31 33.1 35 2.97 0 14

Cardinals Hitting Trends

  • The Cardinals have a 27-12 record in games this season when they belt two or more home runs.
  • St. Louis has gone 22-3 in its 25 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
  • The club has strung together at least eight hits in 54 games this season, and is 35-19 in those contests.
  • St. Louis is 31-7 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Cardinals have gone 9-14 in the 23 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.

Astros Hitting Trends

  • They are 16-7 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Houston has won 11 of its 16 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • They have won 42 of the 54 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Houston has won 39 of its 46 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • In 23 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 17-6

Cardinals vs. Astros Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-125)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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