The Philadelphia Phillies (41-37) match up with the Chicago Cubs (37-40) after Brandon Marsh homered twice in a 5-1 victory over the Cubs. The game starts at 8:05 PM ET on Wednesday.
The Cubs (+115 underdog moneyline odds to win) hit the field versus the Phillies (-137). The game’s total is set at 8.5.
The insights in the article below use the latest odds as of June 28, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -137 | +115 | 8.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 47 games this season and won 28 (59.6%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia has entered 30 games this season favored by -137 or more and is 20-10 in those contests.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 57.8% chance of a victory for the Phillies.
- Games involving Philadelphia has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 30 of 78 chances this season.
- The Phillies are 34-44-0 ATS in their 78 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.9 |
| HR | 9 |
| ERA | 2.30 |
| K/9 | 10.9 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been chosen as underdogs in 37 games this year and have walked away with the win 14 times (37.8%) in those games.
- This season, Chicago has come away with a win 10 times in 23 chances when named as an underdog of at least +115 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 46.5% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
- Chicago and its opponents have gone over in 36 of its 77 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Cubs have posted a record of 40-37-0 against the spread this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.9 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.43 |
| K/9 | 7.9 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Aaron Nola
- When Nola starts, his team is 5-11-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last appearance was on Thursday, when he threw six scoreless innings against the Atlanta Braves while allowing two hits.
- Nola has pitched five or more innings in 15 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
- In 16 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
- Nola’s team has been victorious in 60% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 6-4.
- Nola’s team has won seven of his 16 starts.
- Games started by Nola have an 8-6-2 record at hitting the over this season.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 34 | 32 | 52 | 3.94 | 3 | 11 |
| Gregory Soto | 34 | 30.1 | 35 | 4.45 | 11 | 1 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 23 | 34 | 30 | 1.85 | 0 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 22 | 22.1 | 36 | 2.42 | 5 | 6 |
| Yunior Marte | 19 | 17.2 | 19 | 6.62 | 1 | 1 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Drew Smyly
- The Cubs will send Smyly (7-4) out for his 16th start of the season. He is 7-4 with a 3.59 ERA and 69 strikeouts over 82 2/3 innings pitched.
- His last appearance was on Monday, June 19 against the Pittsburgh Pirates, when the left-hander went five scoreless innings while giving up three hits.
- Smyly will try to last five or more innings for his fifth straight appearance. He’s averaging 5.5 frames per outing.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in two of his 15 appearances this season.
- The Cubs have been the underdog on the moneyline in seven of Smyly’s starts this season, and they went 4-3 in those matchups.
- Smyly’s team has a 9-6 record in his starts this season.
- Smyly’s starts went over the run total seven times in 15 games with a set total this season.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 33 | 34.1 | 39 | 4.98 | 6 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 32 | 33.1 | 46 | 2.97 | 3 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 30 | 32.2 | 48 | 2.48 | 13 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 26 | 34 | 36 | 1.85 | 7 | 4 |
| Michael Rucker | 23 | 29.1 | 33 | 4.30 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies have hit two or more round-trippers in 21 games this season, and are 15-6 in those contests.
- Philadelphia has gone 13-5 in its 18 games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
- The club has put up at least eight hits in 52 games this season, and is 32-20 in those contests.
- Philadelphia has a 30-5 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Phillies have drawn five or more walks in 24 games this season, and are 18-6 in those contests.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They are 16-12 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
- Chicago has gone 13-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
- They have won 36 of the 50 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Chicago has a 28-7 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- They have a 16-14 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+115)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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