The Philadelphia Phillies (40-37) visit the Chicago Cubs (37-39) to open a three-game series at Wrigley Field, with first pitch at 8:05 PM ET on Tuesday. The Phillies are on the back of a series victory over the Mets, and the Cubs a series split with the Cardinals.
The Phillies are favored (-130 moneyline odds) when they visit the Cubs (+110). The contest has an over/under of 8.5.
The betting insights in the following article reflect odds as of June 27, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Phillies vs Cubs Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies | -130 | +110 | 8.5 |
Phillies Betting Insights
- The Phillies have been favorites in 46 games this season and won 27 (58.7%) of those contests.
- Philadelphia has entered 33 games this season favored by -130 or more and is 22-11 in those contests.
- Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Phillies have a 56.5% chance to win.
- Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 30 of its 77 games with a total this season.
- The Phillies have an ATS record of 33-44-0 in 77 games with a spread this season.
Phillies Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.8 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 2.46 |
| K/9 | 10.6 |
Cubs Betting Insights
- The Cubs have been underdogs in 36 games this season and have come away with the win 14 times (38.9%) in those contests.
- This year, Chicago has won 11 of 25 games when listed as at least +110 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Cubs have an implied victory probability of 47.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
- Contests with Chicago has gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 36 of 76 chances this season.
- The Cubs have an against the spread record of 40-36-0 in 76 games with a line this season.
Cubs Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 8-2 |
| Runs Per Game | 6.8 |
| HR | 11 |
| ERA | 2.43 |
| K/9 | 7.6 |
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Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez
- Suarez and his team have a record of 5-3-0 against the spread when he starts.
- The left-hander gave up one earned run in six innings pitched on Tuesday, June 20 in his last outing, a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
- Suarez has six starts in a row of five innings or more.
- In eight appearances this season, he has finished one without allowing an earned run.
- Suarez’s team has won 66.7% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (2-1).
- Suarez’s team has a 5-3 record in his starts this season.
- In Suarez’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.
Phillies Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Craig Kimbrel | 33 | 31 | 50 | 4.06 | 3 | 11 |
| Gregory Soto | 33 | 29.2 | 33 | 4.55 | 11 | 1 |
| Andrew Vasquez | 23 | 34 | 30 | 1.85 | 0 | 0 |
| José Alvarado | 22 | 22.1 | 36 | 2.42 | 5 | 6 |
| Yunior Marte | 19 | 17.2 | 19 | 6.62 | 1 | 1 |
Cubs Probable Pitcher – Jameson Taillon
- The Cubs are sending Taillon (2-5) out for his 13th start of the season. He is 2-5 with a 6.71 ERA and 45 strikeouts over 53 2/3 innings pitched.
- The righty’s most recent time out was on Sunday, June 18 against the Baltimore Orioles, when he went 5 1/3 innings, surrendering four earned runs while allowing eight hits.
- Taillon is looking for his fifth straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.4 innings per start.
- In one of his 12 total appearances this season he has not given up an earned run.
- The Cubs have been the moneyline underdog in five of Taillon’s starts this season, and they went 1-4 in those games.
- Over Taillon’s 12 starts, his team is 2-10.
- Taillon’s starts hit the over on the run total seven times in 12 games with a set total this season.
Cubs Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Fulmer | 33 | 34.1 | 39 | 4.98 | 6 | 1 |
| Julian Merryweather | 32 | 33.1 | 46 | 2.97 | 3 | 0 |
| Mark Leiter Jr. | 30 | 32.2 | 48 | 2.48 | 13 | 3 |
| Adbert Alzolay | 26 | 34 | 36 | 1.85 | 7 | 4 |
| Michael Rucker | 22 | 28.1 | 32 | 4.45 | 0 | 0 |
Phillies Hitting Trends
- The Phillies are 14-6 this season in games when they crush two or more bombs.
- Philadelphia is 13-5 in games this season when it has put up five or more extra-base hits.
- The club is 31-20 in the games this season it has totaled eight or more hits.
- Philadelphia is 29-5 in games this season when it put up at least five runs.
- The Phillies have gone 18-6 in the 24 games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Cubs Hitting Trends
- They’ve hit two or more homers in 28 games this season and are 16-12 in those matchups.
- Chicago has won 13 of its 15 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have a record of 36-14 this season when collecting eight or more base hits in a game.
- In 35 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 28-7.
- They have won 16 of their 30 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Phillies vs. Cubs Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Cubs (+110)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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