The New York Mets (35-43) play the Milwaukee Brewers (41-37) on Tuesday at Citi Field, at 7:10 PM ET.
The Brewers are an underdog away (+122) against the Mets (-144). The over/under in the game is set at 9 total runs.
The betting facts in the following article reflect odds as of June 27, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mets vs Brewers Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mets | -144 | +122 | 9 |
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been favorites in 53 games this season and won 27 (50.9%) of those contests.
- New York has a record of 13-18, a 41.9% win rate, when favored by -144 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 59% chance of a victory for the Mets.
- New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 36 of 79 opportunities.
- The Mets are 30-49-0 against the spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.9 |
| HR | 12 |
| ERA | 4.08 |
| K/9 | 8.8 |
Brewers Betting Insights
- The Brewers have come away with 19 wins in the 37 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This year, Milwaukee has won eight of 19 games when listed as at least +122 or worse on the moneyline.
- The Brewers have an implied victory probability of 45% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Milwaukee and its opponents have hit the over in 33 of its 78 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
- In 78 games with a line this season, the Brewers have a mark of 35-43-0 against the spread.
Brewers Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 7-3 |
| Runs Per Game | 4.0 |
| HR | 8 |
| ERA | 3.20 |
| K/9 | 7.1 |
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Mets Probable Pitcher – David Peterson
- When Peterson starts, his team is 2-6-0 against the spread this season.
- The left-hander’s last appearance was on Monday, May 15, when he threw five innings, giving up six earned runs while allowing nine hits against the Washington Nationals.
- In eight starts, Peterson has pitched through or past the fifth inning six times. He has a season average of 4.9 frames per outing.
- He has yet to finish an appearance without an earned run allowed this season.
- Peterson and his team have lost each of the four games he’s started as the moneyline favorite.
- Peterson’s team is 1-7 when he starts this season.
- Games Peterson has started this season hit the over five times in eight chances.
Mets Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Ottavino | 34 | 32 | 34 | 3.66 | 8 | 5 |
| Brooks Raley | 32 | 27 | 28 | 2.67 | 14 | 1 |
| David Robertson | 30 | 34 | 41 | 1.59 | 6 | 11 |
| Jeff Brigham | 28 | 27.1 | 30 | 3.95 | 5 | 0 |
| Drew Smith | 27 | 24.2 | 29 | 4.74 | 8 | 2 |
Brewers Probable Pitcher – Julio Teheran
- Teheran (2-2 with a 1.53 ERA and 23 strikeouts in 35 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Brewers, his seventh of the season.
- The righty last pitched on Wednesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when he threw five scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
- Teheran is trying for his seventh straight outing lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.9 frames per start.
- He has had two appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Brewers are 1-3 in Teherán’s four starts this season that they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Teherán’s team is 2-4 over his six starts.
- Teherán’s starts went over the run total one time in six games with a set total this season.
Brewers Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hoby Milner | 35 | 31 | 26 | 2.61 | 6 | 0 |
| Peter Strzelecki | 33 | 34.1 | 36 | 4.72 | 14 | 0 |
| Joel Payamps | 31 | 35.1 | 39 | 2.29 | 12 | 1 |
| Devin Williams | 26 | 26.2 | 35 | 1.69 | 0 | 14 |
| Elvis Peguero | 25 | 28.1 | 26 | 2.86 | 6 | 1 |
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets are 10-14 this season in games when they hit at least two homers.
- New York has collected at least five extra-base hits in 10 games this season, and has gone 6-4 in those contests.
- The club has racked up at least eight hits 45 times this season, and has a 28-17 record in those games.
- New York has a 27-15 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mets have drawn five or more walks in 16 games this season, and are 7-9 in those contests.
Brewers Hitting Trends
- They have won 31 of the 37 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Milwaukee has won each of its six games this season in which it has connected for five or more extra-base hits.
- In 38 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 29-9.
- Milwaukee has won 39 of its 43 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have a 21-7 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.
Mets vs. Brewers Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-144)
Over/Under Pick: Over (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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