The Seattle Mariners (38-39) and Washington Nationals (30-48) clash on Tuesday at 9:40 PM ET, at T-Mobile Park.
The favored Mariners (-259 moneyline odds) play at home against the Nationals (+212). The over/under in the game is 8 total runs.
The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of June 27, 2023 at 9:12 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!
Mariners vs Nationals Betting Lines
| Favorite | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mariners | -259 | +212 | 8 |
Mariners Betting Insights
- This season, the Mariners have won 29 out of the 53 games, or 54.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
- Seattle has been at least -259 moneyline favorites four times this season and won each of those games.
- The moneyline for this contest implies a 72.1% chance of a victory for the Mariners.
- Seattle’s games have gone over the total in 38 of its 77 chances.
- In 77 games with a spread this season, the Mariners are 34-43-0 ATS.
Mariners Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 5-5 |
| Runs Per Game | 5.1 |
| HR | 16 |
| ERA | 2.63 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have been underdogs in 75 games this season and have come away with the win 28 times (37.3%) in those contests.
- This year, Washington has won three of 13 games when listed as at least +212 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 32.1% chance of walking away with the win.
- Contests with Washington has gone over the total set by bookmakers in 37 of 78 chances this season.
- The Nationals are 43-35-0 against the spread in their 78 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
| Stat | Avg/Total |
|---|---|
| Record | 3-7 |
| Runs Per Game | 3.6 |
| HR | 10 |
| ERA | 5.22 |
| K/9 | 8.3 |
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Mariners Probable Pitcher – Bryan Woo
- Woo’s team is 2-2-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
- The right-hander allowed two hits in 5 1/3 scoreless innings pitched against the New York Yankees on Thursday.
- Woo will look to finish five or more innings for the third start in a row.
- Woo’s team won his only start as a favorite this season.
- Woo’s team is 3-1 when he starts this season.
- Games Woo has started this season hit the over two times in four chances.
Mariners Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Brash | 37 | 31.1 | 57 | 3.73 | 6 | 1 |
| Gabe Speier | 33 | 27.1 | 26 | 2.63 | 7 | 0 |
| Paul Sewald | 32 | 30.2 | 42 | 2.64 | 0 | 14 |
| Justin Topa | 31 | 29.2 | 26 | 3.34 | 13 | 1 |
| Tayler Saucedo | 20 | 20 | 22 | 3.15 | 0 | 0 |
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Jake Irvin
- Irvin (1-4 with a 4.71 ERA and 33 strikeouts in 42 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Nationals, his 10th of the season.
- In his most recent appearance on Thursday, the right-hander went six innings against the Arizona Diamondbacks, giving up one earned run while surrendering five hits.
- Irvin will try to last five or more innings for his third straight start. He’s averaging 4.7 frames per outing.
- He has held his opponents without an earned run in one of his nine outings this season.
- The Nationals are 2-7 in Irvin’s nine starts this season that they were the moneyline underdog.
- Irvin’s team has won two of his nine starts.
- Irvin’s starts hit the over on the run total five times in nine games with a set total this season.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
| Name | Relief App. | IP | Ks | ERA | Holds | Saves |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Harvey | 32 | 33 | 36 | 3.55 | 11 | 5 |
| Mason Thompson | 30 | 38.1 | 34 | 3.05 | 6 | 1 |
| Kyle Finnegan | 29 | 30 | 32 | 3.9 | 5 | 11 |
| Thad Ward | 20 | 29.2 | 26 | 6.07 | 0 | 0 |
| Andres Machado | 14 | 17 | 12 | 8.47 | 1 | 0 |
Mariners Hitting Trends
- The Mariners are 19-8 this season in games when they crush at least two bombs.
- Seattle has gone 8-1 in its nine games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The club has notched eight or more hits in 49 games this season, and is 30-19 in those contests.
- Seattle is 35-7 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
- The Mariners have drawn five or more walks in 29 games this season, and are 22-7 in those contests.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won nine of the 16 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington has won nine of its 12 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 26 of the 53 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has a 19-10 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
- In 16 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-9
Mariners vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mariners (-259)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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