Orioles vs. Reds Prediction: MLB Betting Lines, Stats and Picks – June 27, 2023

Written By PlayPicks Staff on June 27, 2023

The Baltimore Orioles (48-29) will attempt to keep a three-game win streak alive when they host the Cincinnati Reds (41-38) at 7:05 PM ET on Tuesday.

The favored Orioles (-156 moneyline odds) take the field at home against the Reds (+132). The total for this game is set at 8.

The betting trends in the article below use the latest odds as of June 27, 2023 at 7:20 PM ET. Ready to bet? Click here to get the best DraftKings Sportsbook deposit bonus!

Orioles vs Reds Betting Lines

Favorite Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total
Orioles -156 +132 8

Orioles Betting Insights

  • The Orioles have entered the game as favorites 36 times this season and won 28, or 77.8%, of those games.
  • Baltimore has a record of 13-3, a 81.2% win rate, when favored by -156 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Orioles have a 60.9% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Baltimore and its opponents have hit the over in 39 of 77 games with a total.
  • The Orioles are 48-29-0 against the spread in their 77 chances this season.

Orioles Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 6-4
Runs Per Game 4.5
HR 14
ERA 4.91
K/9 9.8

Reds Betting Insights

  • The Reds have won in 29, or 48.3%, of the 60 contests they have been named as odds-on underdogs this year.
  • This season, Cincinnati has come away with a win 15 times in 33 chances when named as an underdog of at least +132 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Reds have a 43.1% chance of walking away with the win.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have gone over in 46 of its 79 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
  • The Reds have an against the spread record of 48-31-0 in 79 games with a line this season.

Reds Last 10 Games Trend

Stat Avg/Total
Record 7-3
Runs Per Game 6.5
HR 22
ERA 5.60
K/9 7.5

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Orioles Probable Pitcher – Tyler Wells

  • Wells’ team is 8-6-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
  • The right-hander’s last start was on Wednesday, when he tossed five innings while giving up two earned runs on four hits in a matchup with the Tampa Bay Rays.
  • Wells will look to finish five or more innings for the 16th start in a row.
  • He has made 15 appearances and finished three of them without allowing an earned run.
  • When Wells starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 8-2.
  • In games Wells has started, his team is 9-5.
  • In games Wells has started this season, the teams are 6-7-1 at hitting the over.

Orioles Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Michael Baumann 35 39.1 43 4.12 5 0
Bryan Baker 34 31.1 40 4.02 10 0
Felix Bautista 33 36.2 74 1.23 0 21
Danny Coulombe 32 26.2 35 2.36 16 0
Yeinier Cano 31 38 34 0.95 18 4

Reds Probable Pitcher – Andrew Abbott

  • Abbott (3-0) gets the starting nod for the Reds in his fifth start of the season. He’s put together a 1.14 ERA in 23 2/3 innings pitched, with 22 strikeouts.
  • The lefty last appeared on Wednesday against the Colorado Rockies, when he went six innings, allowing three earned runs while giving up four hits.
  • Abbott will try to extend a five-game streak of going five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.8 frames per appearance).
  • He has had three appearances this season that he kept his opponents to zero earned runs.
  • The Reds were the moneyline underdog for two Abbott starts this season — they won both.
  • All four of Abbott’s starts this season have ended in victory for his team.
  • Abbott’s starts hit the over on the run total one time in four games with a set total this season.

Reds Relief Pitchers

Name Relief App. IP Ks ERA Holds Saves
Ian Gibaut 34 37.1 31 3.62 7 1
Buck Farmer 34 37.2 33 2.63 6 2
Alex Young 33 31.1 32 2.87 8 1
Alexis Diaz 32 33 56 1.91 1 21
Lucas Sims 27 28.2 37 3.45 11 0

Orioles Hitting Trends

  • The Orioles have a 23-10 record in games this season when they hit two or more homers.
  • Baltimore has put up five or more extra-base hits in 21 games this season, and has gone 19-2 in those outings.
  • The team has totaled at least eight hits in 50 games this season, and is 35-15 in those contests.
  • Baltimore is 36-8 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
  • The Orioles are 18-3 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Reds Hitting Trends

  • They are 19-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Cincinnati has won 20 of its 25 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
  • In 60 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 42-18.
  • Cincinnati has won 45 of its 53 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have a 13-18 record this season when drawing five or more walks in a game.

Orioles vs. Reds Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Orioles (-156)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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